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| A synoptic view of the natural time distribution and contemporary earthquake hazards in Sumatra, Indonesia 期刊论文
Natural Hazards, 2021, 卷号: 108, 期号: 1
作者: Pasari S.; Simanjuntak A.V.H.; Mehta A.; Neha; Sharma Y.
  收藏 | 浏览/下载：30/0 | 提交时间：2021/09/01
Earthquake nowcasting Probability models Seismic hazard Sumatra |
| Probabilistic Godunov-type hydrodynamic modelling under multiple uncertainties: robust wavelet-based formulations 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 137
作者: Shaw J.; Kesserwani G.; Pettersson P.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：33/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
Computer software Drying Efficiency Friction Galerkin methods Hydrodynamics Monte Carlo methods Stochastic models Stochastic systems Tensors Topography Uncertainty analysis Wetting Basis functions Efficiency and reliability Finite-volume formulation Multidimensional uncertainty Stochastic approach WETTING AND DRYING Probability distributions accuracy assessment finite volume method hydrodynamics Monte Carlo analysis probability reliability analysis stochasticity uncertainty analysis wavelet analysis |
| Quantification of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd: A large-sample experiment at monthly timescale 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 136
作者: Papacharalampous G.; Tyralis H.; Koutsoyiannis D.; Montanari A.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：22/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
Catchments Climate models Forecasting Regression analysis Uncertainty analysis Ensemble learning Hydrological modeling Probabilistic prediction Quantile averaging Quantile regression Uncertainty quantifications Learning systems catchment experimental study hydrological modeling prediction probability quantitative analysis regression analysis time series analysis timescale uncertainty analysis United States |
| Quantification of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd: Methodology development and investigation using toy models 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 136
作者: Papacharalampous G.; Koutsoyiannis D.; Montanari A.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：46/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
Climate models Forecasting Hydrology Regression analysis Uncertainty analysis Ensemble learning Hydrological modeling Probabilistic prediction Quantile averaging Quantile regression Uncertainty quantifications Learning systems ensemble forecasting error analysis hydrological modeling learning model test performance assessment prediction probability quantitative analysis uncertainty analysis |
| Modeling repeated coseismic slip to identify and characterize individual earthquakes from geomorphic offsets on strike-slip faults 期刊论文
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 2020, 卷号: 545
作者: Lin Z.; Liu-Zeng J.; Weldon R.J.; II; Tian J.; Ding C.; Du Y.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：34/0 | 提交时间：2021/09/01
COPD (cumulative offset probability distribution) CoV (coefficient of offset variation) earthquake recurrence models geomorphic offset global historical coseismic surface ruptures strike-slip fault |
| Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 368, 期号: 6491
作者: Ferretti L.; Wymant C.; Kendall M.; Zhao L.; Nurtay A.; Abeler-Dörner L.; Parker M.; Bonsall D.; Fraser C.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：41/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
disease control epidemic memory parasite transmission viral disease Article asymptomatic disease China contact examination coronavirus disease 2019 disease control disease transmission health care system human incubation time mathematical model mobile application mortality rate priority journal quarantine rating scale Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 virus transmission algorithm basic reproduction number Betacoronavirus contact examination Coronavirus infection epidemic ethics infection control mobile application mobile phone pandemic probability procedures theoretical model time factor virus pneumonia Coronavirus SARS coronavirus Algorithms Asymptomatic Diseases Basic Reproduction Number Betacoronavirus Cell Phone China Contact Tracing Coronavirus Infections Epidemics Humans Infection Control Mobile Applications Models, Theoretical Pandemics Pneumonia, Viral Probability Quarantine Time Factors |
| The influence of climate and management on survival probability for Germany's most important tree species 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 458
作者: Brandl S.; Paul C.; Knoke T.; Falk W.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：40/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
Climate models Forestry Normal distribution Plants (botany) Weibull distribution Accelerated failure time models European beech (fagus sylvatica l.) Increasing temperatures Log-normal distribution Picea Abies (L.) Karst Silver fir (Abies alba Mill.) Survival analysis Tree mortality Climate change ecological modeling environmental gradient mortality risk precipitation (chemistry) precipitation (climatology) survival tree Forestry Models Mortality Probability Pseudotsuga Statistical Distribution Survival Germany Abies Abies alba Fagus sylvatica Picea abies Pinus sylvestris Pseudotsuga Pseudotsuga menziesii Quercus petraea Quercus robur |
| Fire from policy, human interventions, or biophysical factors? Temporal–spatial patterns of forest fire in southwestern China 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 474
作者: Xiong Q.; Luo X.; Liang P.; Xiao Y.; Xiao Q.; Sun H.; Pan K.; Wang L.; Li L.; Pang X.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：32/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
Biophysics Deforestation Fire hazards Fireproofing Population statistics Probability distributions Spatial distribution Bio-physical variables Forest fire prevention Ignition probability Meteorological factors Population densities Predictive modeling Redundancy analysis Structural equation models Fires anthropogenic effect fire management forest fire heterogeneity meteorology spatial distribution spatiotemporal analysis temporal variation China Deforestation Distribution Driving Fire Prevention Fires Ignition Probability China Sichuan Yunnan |
| Assessment of NCMRWF Global Ensemble System with differing ensemble populations for Tropical cyclone prediction 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 244
作者: Chakraborty P.; Sarkar A.; Kumar S.; George J.P.; Rajagopal E.N.; Bhatla R.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：31/0 | 提交时间：2020/07/28
Errors Hurricanes Precipitation (meteorology) Probability distributions Storms Tropics Uncertainty analysis Wind Computational requirements Continuous ranked probability scores Cumulative distribution Discriminating abilities Ensemble prediction systems Numerical weather prediction models Relative operating characteristics Tropical cyclone predictions Weather forecasting ensemble forecasting precipitation intensity prediction storm track tropical cyclone weather forecasting wind velocity |
| Spatiotemporal patterns of pre-Columbian people in Amazonia 期刊论文
QUATERNARY RESEARCH, 2019, 卷号: 92, 期号: 1, 页码: 53-69
作者: McMichael, Crystal N. H.; Bush, Mark B.
收藏 | 浏览/下载：34/0 | 提交时间：2019/10/08
Archaeology Cultivation Ensemble distribution models Fire history Human history Soil charcoal Summed cumulative probability distribution |
