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DOI | 10.1093/nsr/nwab113 |
Understanding human influence on climate change in China | |
Sun, Ying; Zhang, Xuebin; Ding, Yihui; Chen, Deliang; Qin, Dahe; Zhai, Panmao | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 2095-5138 |
EISSN | 2053-714X |
卷号 | 9期号:3 |
英文摘要 | China's climate has been warming since the 1950s, with surface air temperature increasing at a rate higher than the global average. Changes in climate have exerted substantial impacts on water resources, agriculture, ecosystems and human health. Attributing past changes to causes provides a scientific foundation for national and international climate policies. Here, we review recent progress in attributing the observed climate changes over past decades in China. Anthropogenic forcings, dominated by greenhouse gas emissions, are the main drivers for observed increases in mean and extreme temperatures. Evidence of the effect of anthropogenic forcings on precipitation is emerging. Human influence has increased the probability of extreme heat events, and has likely changed the occurrence probabilities for some heavy precipitation events. The way a specific attribution question is posed and the conditions under which the question is addressed present persistent challenges for appropriately communicating attribution results to non-specialists. Human influence on China's climate is clear. Anthropogenic forcing is the main driver of the observed warming in mean and extreme temperatures, and its effect on heavy precipitation is emerging. |
英文关键词 | human influence; detection and attribution; climate change; climate extremes |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000764404400001 |
来源期刊 | NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280320 |
作者单位 | Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology; Environment & Climate Change Canada; University of Gothenburg; China Meteorological Administration; China Meteorological Administration; Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS) |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun, Ying,Zhang, Xuebin,Ding, Yihui,et al. Understanding human influence on climate change in China[J],2022,9(3). |
APA | Sun, Ying,Zhang, Xuebin,Ding, Yihui,Chen, Deliang,Qin, Dahe,&Zhai, Panmao.(2022).Understanding human influence on climate change in China.NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW,9(3). |
MLA | Sun, Ying,et al."Understanding human influence on climate change in China".NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW 9.3(2022). |
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