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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab93fc |
On the role of rainfall deficits and cropping choices in loss of agricultural yield in Marathwada, India | |
Zachariah M.; Mondal A.; Das M.; Achutarao K.M.; Ghosh S. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 15期号:9 |
英文摘要 | Crop loss and ensuing social crises can be detrimental for the agriculture-driven economy of India. Though some studies identify country-wide increasing temperatures as the dominant factor for crop loss, the agro-climatic diversity within the country necessitates an understanding of the influence of climate variability on yields at regional scales. We report a complex interplay among rainfall, temperature and cropping choices, with a focus on the drought-prone Marathwada region in Maharashtra. Our analysis based on observations, as well as statistical and process-based modelling experiments, and temperature projections of 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer worlds show that for the two major cropping seasons, rainfall deficit is the primary cause of crop failure, as compared to rising temperatures. The gradual shift from drought-resilient food crops, such as sorghum and pearl-millet to water-intensive cash crops such as sugarcane in recent years, is seemingly responsible for aggravating this crisis. Our findings warrant strategies promoting drought-resilient food crops, that will be useful, not only for mitigating the immediate agrarian crisis, but also for curbing impending threats to food security in the region under future climate change. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | climate change; crop yield; DSSAT; mixed-effects linear regression |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Agricultural robots; Climate change; Drought; Food supply; Rain; Agricultural yields; Climate variability; Climatic diversity; Increasing temperatures; Marathwada region; Process-based modelling; Rising temperatures; Temperature projection; Crops; agricultural production; agrometeorology; cropping practice; farmers knowledge; precipitation assessment; precipitation intensity; yield response; India; Maharashtra; Marathwada; Pennisetum glaucum |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153820 |
作者单位 | Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India; Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India; Center for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Delhi, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zachariah M.,Mondal A.,Das M.,et al. On the role of rainfall deficits and cropping choices in loss of agricultural yield in Marathwada, India[J],2020,15(9). |
APA | Zachariah M.,Mondal A.,Das M.,Achutarao K.M.,&Ghosh S..(2020).On the role of rainfall deficits and cropping choices in loss of agricultural yield in Marathwada, India.Environmental Research Letters,15(9). |
MLA | Zachariah M.,et al."On the role of rainfall deficits and cropping choices in loss of agricultural yield in Marathwada, India".Environmental Research Letters 15.9(2020). |
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