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Ensemble estimation of future rainfall extremes with temperature dependent censored simulation 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 136
作者:  Cross D.;  Onof C.;  Winter H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：30/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/28
Climate change  Climate models  Nearest neighbor search  Rain  Regression analysis  Stochastic systems  Climate change impact  Extremes  K-nearest neighbours  Mechanistic stochastic  Multivariate regression  Parameter estimation  climate modeling  climate prediction  ensemble forecasting  numerical model  parameter estimation  rainfall  regression analysis  uncertainty analysis  weather forecasting  Germany  United Kingdom  
Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 卷号: 25, 期号: 3, 页码: 775-793
作者:  Peterson, Megan L.;  Doak, Daniel F.;  Morris, William F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：35/0  |  提交时间：2019/10/08
climate change  forecast  landscape demography  local adaptation  mechanistic distribution model  response function  species distribution model  transfer function  
Incorporating temperature and precipitation extremes into process-based models of African lepidoptera changes the predicted distribution under climate change 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING, 2019, 卷号: 394, 页码: 53-65
作者:  Barton, Madeleine G.;  Terblanche, John S.;  Sinclair, Brent J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：41/0  |  提交时间：2019/10/08
Mechanistic model  Climate change  Thermal physiology  Dehydration  Butterfly  Moth  Pest management  
Increased Temperature Disrupts the Biodiversity-Ecosystem Functioning Relationship 期刊论文
AMERICAN NATURALIST, 2019, 卷号: 193, 期号: 2, 页码: 227-239
作者:  Parain, Elodie C.;  Rohr, Rudolf P.;  Gray, Sarah M.;  Bersier, Louis-Felix
收藏  |  浏览/下载：35/0  |  提交时间：2019/10/08
global warming  biodiversity ecosystem functioning  Lotka-Volterra mechanistic model  competition  Sarracenia purpurea communities