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| Quantification of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd: A large-sample experiment at monthly timescale 期刊论文 , 2020, 卷号: 136 作者: Papacharalampous G.; Tyralis H.; Koutsoyiannis D.; Montanari A. 收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28 Catchments Climate models Forecasting Regression analysis Uncertainty analysis Ensemble learning Hydrological modeling Probabilistic prediction Quantile averaging Quantile regression Uncertainty quantifications Learning systems catchment experimental study hydrological modeling prediction probability quantitative analysis regression analysis time series analysis timescale uncertainty analysis United States |
| Quantification of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd: Methodology development and investigation using toy models 期刊论文 , 2020, 卷号: 136 作者: Papacharalampous G.; Koutsoyiannis D.; Montanari A. 收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28 Climate models Forecasting Hydrology Regression analysis Uncertainty analysis Ensemble learning Hydrological modeling Probabilistic prediction Quantile averaging Quantile regression Uncertainty quantifications Learning systems ensemble forecasting error analysis hydrological modeling learning model test performance assessment prediction probability quantitative analysis uncertainty analysis |
| Ensemble estimation of future rainfall extremes with temperature dependent censored simulation 期刊论文 , 2020, 卷号: 136 作者: Cross D.; Onof C.; Winter H. 收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28 Climate change Climate models Nearest neighbor search Rain Regression analysis Stochastic systems Climate change impact Extremes K-nearest neighbours Mechanistic stochastic Multivariate regression Parameter estimation climate modeling climate prediction ensemble forecasting numerical model parameter estimation rainfall regression analysis uncertainty analysis weather forecasting Germany United Kingdom |
| Potential predictability and skill assessment of boreal summer surface air temperature of South Asia in the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文 , 2020, 卷号: 241 作者: Ehsan M.A. 收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28 Atmospheric pressure Atmospheric temperature Climatology Forecasting Surface waters Ensemble prediction systems Indian ocean NMME Sea surface temperature anomalies Skill South Asia Surface air temperatures Tropical Indian ocean Oceanography air temperature Antarctic Circumpolar Wave El Nino-Southern Oscillation ensemble forecasting prediction sea surface temperature seasonal variation surface temperature Indian Ocean |
| Exploring the limits of ensemble forecasting via solutions of the Liouville equation for realistic geophysical models 期刊论文 , 2020, 卷号: 246 作者: Hermoso A.; Homar V.; Yano J.-I. 收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28 Equations of motion Forecasting Geophysics Probability density function Stochastic systems Topology Uncertain systems Computational resources Ensemble forecasting Ensemble prediction systems Morphological characteristic Shallow water equations Theoretical framework Topological characteristics Uncertainty informations Liouville equation |
| Assessment of NCMRWF Global Ensemble System with differing ensemble populations for Tropical cyclone prediction 期刊论文 , 2020, 卷号: 244 作者: Chakraborty P.; Sarkar A.; Kumar S.; George J.P.; Rajagopal E.N.; Bhatla R. 收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28 Errors Hurricanes Precipitation (meteorology) Probability distributions Storms Tropics Uncertainty analysis Wind Computational requirements Continuous ranked probability scores Cumulative distribution Discriminating abilities Ensemble prediction systems Numerical weather prediction models Relative operating characteristics Tropical cyclone predictions Weather forecasting ensemble forecasting precipitation intensity prediction storm track tropical cyclone weather forecasting wind velocity |