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Quantification of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd: A large-sample experiment at monthly timescale 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 136
作者:  Papacharalampous G.;  Tyralis H.;  Koutsoyiannis D.;  Montanari A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28
Catchments  Climate models  Forecasting  Regression analysis  Uncertainty analysis  Ensemble learning  Hydrological modeling  Probabilistic prediction  Quantile averaging  Quantile regression  Uncertainty quantifications  Learning systems  catchment  experimental study  hydrological modeling  prediction  probability  quantitative analysis  regression analysis  time series analysis  timescale  uncertainty analysis  United States  
Quantification of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd: Methodology development and investigation using toy models 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 136
作者:  Papacharalampous G.;  Koutsoyiannis D.;  Montanari A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28
Climate models  Forecasting  Hydrology  Regression analysis  Uncertainty analysis  Ensemble learning  Hydrological modeling  Probabilistic prediction  Quantile averaging  Quantile regression  Uncertainty quantifications  Learning systems  ensemble forecasting  error analysis  hydrological modeling  learning  model test  performance assessment  prediction  probability  quantitative analysis  uncertainty analysis  
Ensemble estimation of future rainfall extremes with temperature dependent censored simulation 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 136
作者:  Cross D.;  Onof C.;  Winter H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28
Climate change  Climate models  Nearest neighbor search  Rain  Regression analysis  Stochastic systems  Climate change impact  Extremes  K-nearest neighbours  Mechanistic stochastic  Multivariate regression  Parameter estimation  climate modeling  climate prediction  ensemble forecasting  numerical model  parameter estimation  rainfall  regression analysis  uncertainty analysis  weather forecasting  Germany  United Kingdom  
Potential predictability and skill assessment of boreal summer surface air temperature of South Asia in the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 241
作者:  Ehsan M.A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28
Atmospheric pressure  Atmospheric temperature  Climatology  Forecasting  Surface waters  Ensemble prediction systems  Indian ocean  NMME  Sea surface temperature anomalies  Skill  South Asia  Surface air temperatures  Tropical Indian ocean  Oceanography  air temperature  Antarctic Circumpolar Wave  El Nino-Southern Oscillation  ensemble forecasting  prediction  sea surface temperature  seasonal variation  surface temperature  Indian Ocean  
Exploring the limits of ensemble forecasting via solutions of the Liouville equation for realistic geophysical models 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 246
作者:  Hermoso A.;  Homar V.;  Yano J.-I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28
Equations of motion  Forecasting  Geophysics  Probability density function  Stochastic systems  Topology  Uncertain systems  Computational resources  Ensemble forecasting  Ensemble prediction systems  Morphological characteristic  Shallow water equations  Theoretical framework  Topological characteristics  Uncertainty informations  Liouville equation  
Assessment of NCMRWF Global Ensemble System with differing ensemble populations for Tropical cyclone prediction 期刊论文
, 2020, 卷号: 244
作者:  Chakraborty P.;  Sarkar A.;  Kumar S.;  George J.P.;  Rajagopal E.N.;  Bhatla R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/28
Errors  Hurricanes  Precipitation (meteorology)  Probability distributions  Storms  Tropics  Uncertainty analysis  Wind  Computational requirements  Continuous ranked probability scores  Cumulative distribution  Discriminating abilities  Ensemble prediction systems  Numerical weather prediction models  Relative operating characteristics  Tropical cyclone predictions  Weather forecasting  ensemble forecasting  precipitation intensity  prediction  storm track  tropical cyclone  weather forecasting  wind velocity