气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climatic variability and changing reproductive goals in Sub-Saharan Africa

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.03.011
	Climatic variability and changing reproductive goals in Sub-Saharan Africa
	Eissler S.; Thiede B.C.; Strube J.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0959-3780
EISSN	1872-9495
卷号	57
英文摘要	Using 40 rounds of Demographic and Health Survey data from 18 sub-Saharan African countries, linked to high-resolution historical climate records, we analyze the relationship between climatic variability and fertility goals among reproductive-aged women. We find that, overall, women exposed to above-average temperatures report lower ideal family size and reduced probability of desiring a first or additional child. Results indicate that exposure to precipitation anomalies during the 12 months prior to the DHS survey is associated with a significant reduction in ideal family size, but longer 60-month spells of above-average precipitation are associated with increases in ideal family size. Effects of unusual precipitation are null for women's fertility preferences at both shorter- and longer-term periods. Additional analyses show that this association varies across sub-populations defined by parity, education, residence in rural or urban areas, and region. In general, our results suggest that women exposed to adverse environmental conditions—namely abnormally hot or dry spells—will reduce their ideal family size and their preferences for having another child. In some cases, however, fertility goals may also decline during spells of favorable environmental conditions, possibly due to increased labor demands among women and their spouses. One implication of the observed links between climate variability and reproductive goals is that policymakers concerned with climate adaptation should work to ensure women have access to the necessary family planning resources needed to realize dynamic reproductive goals in a changing climate. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Climate change; Climatic variability; Fertility; Fertility preferences; Sub-Saharan Africa
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography
scopus关键词	climate change; demographic survey; family planning; fertility; health survey; probability; womens health; Sub-Saharan Africa
来源期刊	Global Environmental change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/99733
作者单位	Pennsylvania State University, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Eissler S.,Thiede B.C.,Strube J.. Climatic variability and changing reproductive goals in Sub-Saharan Africa[J],2019,57.
APA	Eissler S.,Thiede B.C.,&Strube J..(2019).Climatic variability and changing reproductive goals in Sub-Saharan Africa.Global Environmental change,57.
MLA	Eissler S.,et al."Climatic variability and changing reproductive goals in Sub-Saharan Africa".Global Environmental change 57(2019).