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DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.318
Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation
Aguilera, Rosana1; Gershunov, Alexander1; Benmarhnia, Tarik1,2
发表日期2019
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
卷号671页码:488-494
英文摘要

Precipitation in California is projected to become more volatile: less frequent but more extreme as global warming pushes midlatitude frontal cyclones further poleward while bolstering the atmospheric rivers (ARs), which tend to produce the region's extreme rainfall. Pollutant accumulation and delivery to coastal waters can be expected to increase, as lengthening dry spells will be increasingly punctuated by more extreme precipitation events. Coastal pollution exposes human populations to high levels of fecal bacteria and associated pathogens, which can cause a variety of health impacts. Consequently, studying the impact of atmospheric rivers as the mechanism generating pulses of water pollution in coastal areas is relevant for public health and in the context of climate change. We aimed to quantify the links between precipitation events and water quality in order to explore meteorological causes as first steps toward effective early warning systems for the benefit of population health in California and beyond. We used historical gridded daily precipitation and weekly multiple fecal bacteria indicators at similar to 500 monitoring locations in California's coastal waters to identify weekly associations between precipitation and water quality during 2003-09 using canonical correlation analysis to account for the nested/clustered nature of longitudinal data. We then quantified, using a recently published catalog of atmospheric rivers, the proportion of coastal pollution events attributable to ARs. Association between precipitation and fecal bacteria was strongest in Southern California. Over two-thirds of coastal water pollution spikes exceeding one standard deviation were associated with ARs. This work highlights the importance of skillful AR landfall predictions in reducing vulnerability to extreme weather improving resilience of human populations in a varying and changing climate. Quantifying the impacts of ARs on waterborne diseases is important for planning effective preventive strategies for public health. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/99289
作者单位1.Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA;
2.Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Family Med & Publ Hlth, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
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Aguilera, Rosana,Gershunov, Alexander,Benmarhnia, Tarik. Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation[J],2019,671:488-494.
APA Aguilera, Rosana,Gershunov, Alexander,&Benmarhnia, Tarik.(2019).Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,671,488-494.
MLA Aguilera, Rosana,et al."Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 671(2019):488-494.
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