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DOI10.1029/2019GL082783
A 250-Year European Drought Inventory Derived From Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling
Moravec, Vojtech1; Markonis, Yannis1; Rakovec, Oldrich1,2; Kumar, Rohini2; Hanel, Martin1
发表日期2019
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
卷号46期号:11页码:5909-5917
英文摘要

We present a 250-year (1766-2015) inventory of European meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural droughts derived from ensemble simulations of the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM). The inventory of droughts takes into account an ensemble of 100 simulations from the hydrological model, allowing for assessment of how different meteorological forcing and model parameterizations affect a drought ranking. For the most extreme droughts, the variability in the ranking of drought events is low, while for the years with moderate precipitation deficits, the variability increases. Despite the underlying uncertainties, our drought inventory shows increased recurrence of soil moisture droughts in the Mediterranean and declining spatial extent of hydrological drought in Central Europe over the last three decades.


Plain Language Summary Drought is one of the most costly natural hazards. Complete understanding of this phenomenon evades us because drought needs a long period of time to evolve and when it does, it might propagate through different components of the hydrological cycle. For example, meteorological drought, which is a lack of rainfall, might result in hydrological drought (low discharge/lake levels), agricultural drought (low soil moisture), or both. This is why it is important to record past occurrences of individual droughts to better understand under what conditions they propagated. To address this, herein we produce a 250-year long European drought inventory based on hydrological modeling that presents the interaction of the three types of drought, namely, meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural, as well as their properties in a single, comprehensive framework.


WOS研究方向Geology
来源期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/99179
作者单位1.Czech Univ Life Sci Prague, Fac Environm Sci, Prague, Czech Republic;
2.UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Leipzig, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Moravec, Vojtech,Markonis, Yannis,Rakovec, Oldrich,et al. A 250-Year European Drought Inventory Derived From Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling[J],2019,46(11):5909-5917.
APA Moravec, Vojtech,Markonis, Yannis,Rakovec, Oldrich,Kumar, Rohini,&Hanel, Martin.(2019).A 250-Year European Drought Inventory Derived From Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(11),5909-5917.
MLA Moravec, Vojtech,et al."A 250-Year European Drought Inventory Derived From Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.11(2019):5909-5917.
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