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DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.048
Assessing the impact of future greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas production
Crow, Daniel J. G.1; Balcombe, Paul1,2; Brandon, Nigel1; Hawkes, Adam D.1,2
发表日期2019
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
卷号668页码:1242-1258
英文摘要

Greenhouse gases (GHGs) produced by the extraction of natural gas are an important contributor to lifecycle emissions and account for a significant fraction of anthropogenic methane emissions in the USA. The timing as well as the magnitude of these emissions matters, as the short term climate warming impact of methane is up to 120 times that of CO2. This study uses estimates of CO2 and methane emissions associated with different upstream operations to build a deterministic model of GHG emissions from conventional and unconventional gas fields as a function of time. By combining these emissions with a dynamic, techno-economic model of gas supply we assess their potential impact on the value of different types of project and identify stranded resources in various carbon price scenarios. We focus in particular on the effects of different emission metrics for methane, using the global warming potential (GWP) and the global temperature potential (GTP), with both fixed 20-year and 100-year CO2-equivalent values and in a time-dependent way based on a target year for climate stabilisation. We report a strong time dependence of emissions over the lifecycle of a typical field, and find that bringing forward the stabilisation year dramatically increases the importance of the methane contribution to these emissions. Using a commercial database of the remaining reserves of individual projects, we use our model to quantify future emissions resulting from the extraction of current US non-associated reserves. A carbon price of at least 400 USD/tonne CO2 is effective in reducing cumulative GHGs by 30-60%, indicating that decarbonising the upstream component of the natural gas supply chain is achievable using carbon prices similar to those needed to decarbonise the energy system as a whole. Surprisingly, for large carbon prices, the choice of emission metric does not have a significant impact on cumulative emissions. Crown Copyright (C) 2019 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/99074
作者单位1.Imperial Coll London, Sustainable Gas Inst, London SW7 2AZ, England;
2.Imperial Coll London, Dept Chem Engn, London SW7 2AZ, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Crow, Daniel J. G.,Balcombe, Paul,Brandon, Nigel,et al. Assessing the impact of future greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas production[J],2019,668:1242-1258.
APA Crow, Daniel J. G.,Balcombe, Paul,Brandon, Nigel,&Hawkes, Adam D..(2019).Assessing the impact of future greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas production.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,668,1242-1258.
MLA Crow, Daniel J. G.,et al."Assessing the impact of future greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas production".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 668(2019):1242-1258.
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