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DOI10.5194/bg-16-2343-2019
Model constraints on the anthropogenic carbon budget of the Arctic Ocean
Terhaar, Jens1; Orr, James C.1; Gehlen, Marion1; Ethe, Christian2; Bopp, Laurent3
发表日期2019
ISSN1726-4170
EISSN1726-4189
卷号16期号:11页码:2343-2367
英文摘要

The Arctic Ocean is projected to experience not only amplified climate change but also amplified ocean acidification. Modeling future acidification depends on our ability to simulate baseline conditions and changes over the industrial era. Such centennial-scale changes require a global model to account for exchange between the Arctic and surrounding regions. Yet the coarse resolution of typical global models may poorly resolve that exchange as well as critical features of Arctic Ocean circulation. Here we assess how simulations of Arctic Ocean storage of anthropogenic carbon (C-ant), the main driver of open-ocean acidification, differ when moving from coarse to eddy-admitting resolution in a global ocean-circulation-biogeochemistry model (Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean, NEMO; Pelagic Interactions Scheme for Carbon and Ecosystem Studies, PISCES). The Arctic's regional storage of C-ant is enhanced as model resolution increases. While the coarse-resolution model configuration ORCA2 (2 degrees) stores 2.0 Pg C in the Arctic Ocean between 1765 and 2005, the eddy-admitting versions ORCA05 and ORCA025 (1/2 degrees and 1/4 degrees) store 2.4 and 2.6 Pg C. The difference in inventory between model resolutions that is accounted for is only from their divergence after 1958, when ORCA2 and ORCA025 were initialized with output from the intermediate-resolution configuration (ORCA05). The difference would have been larger had all model resolutions been initialized in 1765 as was ORCA05. The ORCA025 Arctic C-ant storage estimate of 2.6 PgC should be considered a lower limit because that model generally underestimates observed CFC-12 concentrations. It reinforces the lower limit from a previous data-based approach (2.5 to 3.3 Pg C). Independent of model resolution, there was roughly 3 times as much C-ant that entered the Arctic Ocean through lateral transport than via the flux of CO2 across the air-sea interface. Wider comparison to nine earth system models that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) reveals much larger diversity of stored C-ant and lateral transport. Only the CMIP5 models with higher lateral transport obtain C-ant inventories that are close to the data-based estimates. Increasing resolution also enhances acidification, e.g., with greater shoaling of the Arctic's average depth of the aragonite saturation horizon during 1960-2012, from 50m in ORCA2 to 210m in ORCA025. Even higher model resolution would likely further improve such estimates, but its prohibitive costs also call for other more practical avenues for improvement, e.g., through model nesting, addition of coastal processes, and refinement of subgrid-scale parameterizations.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology
来源期刊BIOGEOSCIENCES
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/99027
作者单位1.Univ Paris Saclay, UVSQ, CNRS, LSCE,IPSL,CEA, Gif Sur Yvette, France;
2.Inst Pierre & Simon Laplace, Paris, France;
3.Sorbonne Univ, PSL Res Univ, Ecole Normale Super, LMD,IPSL,CNRS,Ecole Polytech, Paris, France
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Terhaar, Jens,Orr, James C.,Gehlen, Marion,et al. Model constraints on the anthropogenic carbon budget of the Arctic Ocean[J],2019,16(11):2343-2367.
APA Terhaar, Jens,Orr, James C.,Gehlen, Marion,Ethe, Christian,&Bopp, Laurent.(2019).Model constraints on the anthropogenic carbon budget of the Arctic Ocean.BIOGEOSCIENCES,16(11),2343-2367.
MLA Terhaar, Jens,et al."Model constraints on the anthropogenic carbon budget of the Arctic Ocean".BIOGEOSCIENCES 16.11(2019):2343-2367.
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