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DOI10.5194/gmd-12-2195-2019
Development and evaluation of pollen source methodologies for the Victorian Grass Pollen Emissions Module VGPEM1.0
Emmerson, Kathryn M.1; Silver, Jeremy D.2; Newbigin, Edward3; Lampugnani, Edwin R.3; Suphioglu, Cenk4; Wain, Alan5; Ebert, Elizabeth5
发表日期2019
ISSN1991-959X
EISSN1991-9603
卷号12期号:6页码:2195-2214
英文摘要

We present the first representation of grass pollen in a 3-D dispersion model in Australia, tested using observations from eight counting sites in Victoria. The region's population has high rates of allergic rhinitis and asthma, and this has been linked to the high incidence of grass pollen allergy. Despite this, grass pollen dispersion in the Australian atmosphere has not been studied previously, and its source strength is untested. We describe 10 pollen emission source methodologies examining the strengths of different immediate and seasonal timing functions, and the spatial distribution of the sources. The timing function assumes a smooth seasonal term, modulated by an hourly meteorological function. A simple Gaussian representation of the pollen season worked well (average r = 0.54), but lacked the spatial and temporal variation that the satellite-derived enhanced vegetation index (EVI) can provide. However, poor results were obtained using the EVI gradient (average r = 0.35), which provides the timing when grass turns from maximum greenness to a drying and flowering period; this is due to noise in the spatial and temporal variability from this combined spatial and seasonal term. Better results were obtained using statistical methods that combine elements of the EVI dataset, a smooth seasonal term and instantaneous variation based on historical grass pollen observations (average r = 0.69). The seasonal magnitude is inferred from the maximum wintertime EVI, whereas the timing of the season peak is based on the day of the year when the EVI falls to 0.05 below its winter maximum. Measurements are vital to monitor changes in the pollen season, and the new pollen measurement sites in the Victorian network should be maintained.


WOS研究方向Geology
来源期刊GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/99001
作者单位1.CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Climate Sci Ctr, Aspendale, Vic 3195, Australia;
2.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia;
3.Univ Melbourne, Sch BioSci, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia;
4.Deakin Univ, Sch Life & Environm Sci, Waurn Ponds, Vic 3216, Australia;
5.Bur Meteorol, Docklands, Vic 3008, Australia
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GB/T 7714
Emmerson, Kathryn M.,Silver, Jeremy D.,Newbigin, Edward,et al. Development and evaluation of pollen source methodologies for the Victorian Grass Pollen Emissions Module VGPEM1.0[J],2019,12(6):2195-2214.
APA Emmerson, Kathryn M..,Silver, Jeremy D..,Newbigin, Edward.,Lampugnani, Edwin R..,Suphioglu, Cenk.,...&Ebert, Elizabeth.(2019).Development and evaluation of pollen source methodologies for the Victorian Grass Pollen Emissions Module VGPEM1.0.GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT,12(6),2195-2214.
MLA Emmerson, Kathryn M.,et al."Development and evaluation of pollen source methodologies for the Victorian Grass Pollen Emissions Module VGPEM1.0".GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT 12.6(2019):2195-2214.
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