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DOI | 10.1111/risa.13245 |
Are We Adapting to Floods? Evidence from Global Flooding Fatalities | |
Miao, Qing | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0272-4332 |
EISSN | 1539-6924 |
卷号 | 39期号:6页码:1298-1313 |
英文摘要 | There has been a growing interest in understanding whether and how people adapt to extreme weather events in a changing climate. This article presents one of the first empirical analyses of adaptation to flooding on a global scale. Using a sample of 97 countries between 1985 and 2010, we investigate the extent and pattern of flood adaptation by estimating the effects of a country's climatological risk, recent flood experiences, and socioeconomic characteristics on its flood-related fatalities. Our results provide mixed evidence on adaptation: countries facing greater long-term climatological flooding risks do not necessarily adapt better and suffer fewer fatalities; however, after controlling for the cross-country heterogeneity, we find that more recent flooding shocks have a significant and negative effect on fatalities from subsequent floods. These findings may suggest the short-term learning dynamics of adaptation and potential inefficacy of earlier flood control measures, particularly those that promote increased exposure in floodplains. Our findings provide important implications for climate adaptation policy making and climate modeling. |
WOS研究方向 | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Mathematics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences |
来源期刊 | RISK ANALYSIS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98922 |
作者单位 | Rochester Inst Technol, Dept Publ Policy, Eastman Hall 1-3242,92 Lomb Mem Dr, Rochester, NY 14623 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Miao, Qing. Are We Adapting to Floods? Evidence from Global Flooding Fatalities[J],2019,39(6):1298-1313. |
APA | Miao, Qing.(2019).Are We Adapting to Floods? Evidence from Global Flooding Fatalities.RISK ANALYSIS,39(6),1298-1313. |
MLA | Miao, Qing."Are We Adapting to Floods? Evidence from Global Flooding Fatalities".RISK ANALYSIS 39.6(2019):1298-1313. |
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