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DOI10.1016/j.envint.2019.03.063
The impact of the 2016 flood event in Anhui Province, China on infectious diarrhea disease: An interrupted time-series study
Zhang, Na1; Song, Dandan2; Zhang, Jin2; Liao, Wenmin1; Miao, Kaichao3; Zhong, Shuang4; Lin, Shao5; Hajat, Shakoor6; Yang, Lianping1; Huang, Cunrui1
发表日期2019
ISSN0160-4120
EISSN1873-6750
卷号127页码:801-809
英文摘要

Climate change may bring more frequent and severe floods which will heighten public health problems, including an increased risk of infectious diarrhea in susceptible populations. Affected by heavy rainfall and an El Nino event, a destructive flood occurred in Anhui province, China on 18th June 2016. This study investigates the impact of this severe flood on infectious diarrhea at both city-level and provincial level, and further to identify modifying factor. We obtained information on infectious diarrheal cases during 2013-2017 from the National Disease Surveillance System. An interrupted time-series design was used to estimate effects of the flood event on diarrhea in 16 cities. Then we applied a meta-analysis to estimate the area-level pooled effects of the flood in both flooded areas and non-flooded areas. Finally, a meta-regression was applied to determine whether proximity to flood was a predictor of city-level risks. Stratified analyses by gender and age group were also conducted for flooded areas. A significant increase in infectious diarrhea risk (RR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.23) after the flood event was found in flooded area with variation in risks across cities, while there was no increase in non-flooded areas. Diarrheal risks post-flood was progressively higher in cities with greater proximity to the Yangtze River. Children aged 5-14 were at highest risk of diarrhea post-flood in the flooded areas. Our study provides strong evidence that the 2016 severe flood significantly increased infectious diarrheal risk in exposed populations. Local public health agencies are advised to develop intervention programs to prevent and control infectious diarrhea risk when a major flood occurs, especially in areas close to water bodies and among vulnerable populations.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98784
作者单位1.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, 74 Zhongshan 2nd Rd, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, Peoples R China;
2.Anhui Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China;
3.Publ Meteorol Serv Ctr Anhui Prov, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China;
4.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Govt, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
5.SUNY Albany, Sch Publ Hlth, Albany, NY 12222 USA;
6.London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Publ Hlth Environm & Soc, London, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Na,Song, Dandan,Zhang, Jin,et al. The impact of the 2016 flood event in Anhui Province, China on infectious diarrhea disease: An interrupted time-series study[J],2019,127:801-809.
APA Zhang, Na.,Song, Dandan.,Zhang, Jin.,Liao, Wenmin.,Miao, Kaichao.,...&Huang, Cunrui.(2019).The impact of the 2016 flood event in Anhui Province, China on infectious diarrhea disease: An interrupted time-series study.ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL,127,801-809.
MLA Zhang, Na,et al."The impact of the 2016 flood event in Anhui Province, China on infectious diarrhea disease: An interrupted time-series study".ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 127(2019):801-809.
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