Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1007/s00484-019-01690-5 |
New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes | |
Jin, Hongxiao1; Jonsson, Anna Maria1; Olsson, Cecilia1,2; Lindstrom, Johan3; Jonsson, Per4; Eklundh, Lars1 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0020-7128 |
EISSN | 1432-1254 |
卷号 | 63期号:6页码:763-775 |
英文摘要 | Recent climate warming has altered plant phenology at northern European latitudes, but conclusions regarding the spatial patterns of phenological change and relationships with climate are still challenging as quantitative estimates are strongly diverging. To generate consistent estimates of broad-scale spatially continuous spring plant phenology at northern European latitudes (>50 degrees N) from 2000 to 2016, we used a novel vegetation index, the plant phenology index (PPI), derived from MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. To obtain realistic and strong estimates, the phenology trends and their relationships with temperature and precipitation over the past 17years were analyzed using a panel data method. We found that in the studied region the start of the growing season (SOS) has on average advanced by 0.30dayyear(-1). The SOS showed an overall advancement rate of 2.47day degrees C-1 to spring warming, and 0.18daycm(-1) to decreasing precipitation in spring. The previous winter and summer temperature had important effects on the SOS but were spatially heterogeneous. Overall, the onset of SOS was delayed 0.66day degrees C-1 by winter warming and 0.56day degrees C-1 by preceding summer warming. The precipitation in winter and summer influenced the SOS in a relatively weak and complex manner. The findings indicate rapid recent phenological changes driven by combined seasonal climates in northern Europe. Previously unknown spatial patterns of phenological change and relationships with climate drivers are presented that improve our capacity to understand and foresee future climate effects on vegetation. |
WOS研究方向 | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
![]() |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98258 |
作者单位 | 1.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, SE-22362 Lund, Sweden; 2.Agrolab Sverige AB, SE-24193 Eslov, Sweden; 3.Lund Univ, Ctr Math Sci, Div Math Stat, SE-22100 Lund, Sweden; 4.Malmo Univ, Mat Sci & Appl Math, SE-20506 Malmo, Sweden |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jin, Hongxiao,Jonsson, Anna Maria,Olsson, Cecilia,et al. New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes[J],2019,63(6):763-775. |
APA | Jin, Hongxiao,Jonsson, Anna Maria,Olsson, Cecilia,Lindstrom, Johan,Jonsson, Per,&Eklundh, Lars.(2019).New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,63(6),763-775. |
MLA | Jin, Hongxiao,et al."New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 63.6(2019):763-775. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。