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DOI10.1007/s00484-019-01690-5
New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes
Jin, Hongxiao1; Jonsson, Anna Maria1; Olsson, Cecilia1,2; Lindstrom, Johan3; Jonsson, Per4; Eklundh, Lars1
发表日期2019
ISSN0020-7128
EISSN1432-1254
卷号63期号:6页码:763-775
英文摘要

Recent climate warming has altered plant phenology at northern European latitudes, but conclusions regarding the spatial patterns of phenological change and relationships with climate are still challenging as quantitative estimates are strongly diverging. To generate consistent estimates of broad-scale spatially continuous spring plant phenology at northern European latitudes (>50 degrees N) from 2000 to 2016, we used a novel vegetation index, the plant phenology index (PPI), derived from MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. To obtain realistic and strong estimates, the phenology trends and their relationships with temperature and precipitation over the past 17years were analyzed using a panel data method. We found that in the studied region the start of the growing season (SOS) has on average advanced by 0.30dayyear(-1). The SOS showed an overall advancement rate of 2.47day degrees C-1 to spring warming, and 0.18daycm(-1) to decreasing precipitation in spring. The previous winter and summer temperature had important effects on the SOS but were spatially heterogeneous. Overall, the onset of SOS was delayed 0.66day degrees C-1 by winter warming and 0.56day degrees C-1 by preceding summer warming. The precipitation in winter and summer influenced the SOS in a relatively weak and complex manner. The findings indicate rapid recent phenological changes driven by combined seasonal climates in northern Europe. Previously unknown spatial patterns of phenological change and relationships with climate drivers are presented that improve our capacity to understand and foresee future climate effects on vegetation.


WOS研究方向Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98258
作者单位1.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, SE-22362 Lund, Sweden;
2.Agrolab Sverige AB, SE-24193 Eslov, Sweden;
3.Lund Univ, Ctr Math Sci, Div Math Stat, SE-22100 Lund, Sweden;
4.Malmo Univ, Mat Sci & Appl Math, SE-20506 Malmo, Sweden
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Jin, Hongxiao,Jonsson, Anna Maria,Olsson, Cecilia,et al. New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes[J],2019,63(6):763-775.
APA Jin, Hongxiao,Jonsson, Anna Maria,Olsson, Cecilia,Lindstrom, Johan,Jonsson, Per,&Eklundh, Lars.(2019).New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,63(6),763-775.
MLA Jin, Hongxiao,et al."New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 63.6(2019):763-775.
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