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DOI10.1038/s41561-019-0353-3
Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Nino events in recent decades relative to past centuries
Freund, Mandy B.1,2,3; Henley, Benjamin J.1,2,4,5; Karoly, David J.1,2,6; McGregor, Helen V.7; Abram, Nerilie J.8,9; Dommenget, Dietmar5,10
发表日期2019
ISSN1752-0894
EISSN1752-0908
卷号12期号:6页码:450-+
英文摘要

El Nino events differ substantially in their spatial pattern and intensity. Canonical Eastern Pacific El Nino events have sea surface temperature anomalies that are strongest in the far eastern equatorial Pacific, whereas peak ocean warming occurs further west during Central Pacific El Nino events. The event types differ in their impacts on the location and intensity of temperature and precipitation anomalies globally. Evidence is emerging that Central Pacific El Nino events have become more common, a trend that is projected by some studies to continue with ongoing climate change. Here we identify spatial and temporal patterns in observed sea surface temperatures that distinguish the evolution of Eastern and Central Pacific El Nino events in the tropical Pacific. We show that these patterns are recorded by a network of 27 seasonally resolved coral records, which we then use to reconstruct Central and Eastern Pacific El Nino activity for the past four centuries. We find a simultaneous increase in Central Pacific events and a decrease in Eastern Pacific events since the late twentieth century that leads to a ratio of Central to Eastern Pacific events that is unusual in a multicentury context. Compared to the past four centuries, the most recent 30 year period includes fewer, but more intense, Eastern Pacific El Nino events.


WOS研究方向Geology
来源期刊NATURE GEOSCIENCE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98227
作者单位1.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Parkville, Vic, Australia;
2.Univ Melbourne, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Parkville, Vic, Australia;
3.Univ Melbourne, Climate & Energy Coll, Parkville, Vic, Australia;
4.Univ Melbourne, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Parkville, Vic, Australia;
5.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Clayton, Vic, Australia;
6.CSIRO, NESP Earth Syst & Climate Change Hub, Aspendale, Vic, Australia;
7.Univ Wollongong, Sch Earth Atmospher & Life Sci, Wollongong, NSW, Australia;
8.Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Earth Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia;
9.Australian Natl Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia;
10.Monash Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Clayton, Vic, Australia
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Freund, Mandy B.,Henley, Benjamin J.,Karoly, David J.,et al. Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Nino events in recent decades relative to past centuries[J],2019,12(6):450-+.
APA Freund, Mandy B.,Henley, Benjamin J.,Karoly, David J.,McGregor, Helen V.,Abram, Nerilie J.,&Dommenget, Dietmar.(2019).Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Nino events in recent decades relative to past centuries.NATURE GEOSCIENCE,12(6),450-+.
MLA Freund, Mandy B.,et al."Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Nino events in recent decades relative to past centuries".NATURE GEOSCIENCE 12.6(2019):450-+.
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