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DOI10.3390/w11061292
Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas
Plewa, Katarzyna; Perz, Adam; Wrzesinski, Dariusz; Sobkowiak, Leszek
发表日期2019
ISSN2073-4441
卷号11期号:6
英文摘要

The hydrology of coastal lakes differs significantly from that of inland water bodies due to the influence of the neighboring sea. Observed climatic changes are expected to enhance the effect of the sea on coastal lake ecosystems, which makes research on sea-lake interactions even more significant. In this study, on the basis of maximum annual and monthly values of water level, dependencies among the water levels of six lakes located along the southern coast of the Baltic Sea in Poland, and the Baltic Sea water levels were analyzed. First, the Spearman rank correlation and the linear regression method were applied. Then, selected copulas were used to find joint distributions of the studied time series. In the next stage, the degrees of synchronous and asynchronous occurrences of maximum water levels in lakes and the sea were calculated. The study revealed that correlations between the maximum annual water levels in coastal lakes and in the Baltic Sea in the selected gauge stations were very strong and statistically significant. These results were confirmed by a synchronicity analysis carried out with the help of a copula function. The highest relationship was detected in the case of Lake Resko Przymorskie (correlation coefficient 0.86, synchronicity 75.18%), while the lowest were observed in Lakes Jamno (0.62 and 58.20%, respectively) and Bukowo (0.60 and 56.82%, respectively). The relation strength between maximum water levels of the sea and coastal lakes may increase in the future due to sea level rises caused by climate warming.


WOS研究方向Water Resources
来源期刊WATER
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98199
作者单位Adam Mickiewicz Univ, Inst Phys Geog & Environm Planning, Krygowskiego 10, PL-61680 Poznan, Poland
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GB/T 7714
Plewa, Katarzyna,Perz, Adam,Wrzesinski, Dariusz,et al. Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas[J],2019,11(6).
APA Plewa, Katarzyna,Perz, Adam,Wrzesinski, Dariusz,&Sobkowiak, Leszek.(2019).Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas.WATER,11(6).
MLA Plewa, Katarzyna,et al."Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas".WATER 11.6(2019).
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