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DOI | 10.3390/w11061292 |
Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas | |
Plewa, Katarzyna; Perz, Adam; Wrzesinski, Dariusz; Sobkowiak, Leszek | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 2073-4441 |
卷号 | 11期号:6 |
英文摘要 | The hydrology of coastal lakes differs significantly from that of inland water bodies due to the influence of the neighboring sea. Observed climatic changes are expected to enhance the effect of the sea on coastal lake ecosystems, which makes research on sea-lake interactions even more significant. In this study, on the basis of maximum annual and monthly values of water level, dependencies among the water levels of six lakes located along the southern coast of the Baltic Sea in Poland, and the Baltic Sea water levels were analyzed. First, the Spearman rank correlation and the linear regression method were applied. Then, selected copulas were used to find joint distributions of the studied time series. In the next stage, the degrees of synchronous and asynchronous occurrences of maximum water levels in lakes and the sea were calculated. The study revealed that correlations between the maximum annual water levels in coastal lakes and in the Baltic Sea in the selected gauge stations were very strong and statistically significant. These results were confirmed by a synchronicity analysis carried out with the help of a copula function. The highest relationship was detected in the case of Lake Resko Przymorskie (correlation coefficient 0.86, synchronicity 75.18%), while the lowest were observed in Lakes Jamno (0.62 and 58.20%, respectively) and Bukowo (0.60 and 56.82%, respectively). The relation strength between maximum water levels of the sea and coastal lakes may increase in the future due to sea level rises caused by climate warming. |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
来源期刊 | WATER
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98199 |
作者单位 | Adam Mickiewicz Univ, Inst Phys Geog & Environm Planning, Krygowskiego 10, PL-61680 Poznan, Poland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Plewa, Katarzyna,Perz, Adam,Wrzesinski, Dariusz,et al. Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas[J],2019,11(6). |
APA | Plewa, Katarzyna,Perz, Adam,Wrzesinski, Dariusz,&Sobkowiak, Leszek.(2019).Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas.WATER,11(6). |
MLA | Plewa, Katarzyna,et al."Probabilistic Assessment of Correlations of Water Levels in Polish Coastal Lakes with Sea Water Level with the Application of Archimedean Copulas".WATER 11.6(2019). |
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