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DOI10.1002/ecs2.2766
Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills
Nevalainen, Maisa1; Vanhatalo, Jarno1,2; Helle, Inari1,3
发表日期2019
ISSN2150-8925
卷号10期号:6
英文摘要

Risk of an Arctic oil spill has become a global matter of concern. Climate change induced opening of shipping routes increases the Arctic maritime traffic which exposes the area to negative impacts of potential maritime accidents. Still, quantitative analyses of the likely environmental impacts of such accidents are scarce, and our understanding of the uncertainties related to both accidents and their consequences is poor. There is an obvious need for analysis tools that allow us to systematically analyze the impacts of oil spills on Arctic species, so the risks can be taken into account when new sea routes or previously unexploited oil reserves are utilized. In this paper, an index-based approach is developed to study exposure potential (described via probability of becoming exposed to spilled oil) and sensitivity (described via oil-induced mortality and recovery) of Arctic biota in the face of an oil spill. First, a conceptual model presenting the relevant variables that contribute to exposure potential and sensitivity of key Arctic marine functional groups was built. Second, based on an extensive literature review, a probabilistic estimate was assigned for each variable, and the variables were combined to an index representing the overall vulnerability of Arctic biota. The resulting index can be used to compare the relative risk between functional groups and accident scenarios. Results indicate that birds have the highest vulnerability to spilled oil, and seals and whales the lowest. Polar bears' vulnerability varies greatly between seasons, while ice seals' vulnerability remains the same in every accident scenario. Exposure potential of most groups depends strongly on type of oil, whereas their sensitivity contains less variation.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊ECOSPHERE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/98105
作者单位1.Univ Helsinki, Organismal & Evolutionary Biol Res Programme, POB 65, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland;
2.Univ Helsinki, Dept Math & Stat, POB 68, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland;
3.Univ Helsinki, Helsinki Inst Sustainabil Sci HELSUS, Helsinki, Finland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nevalainen, Maisa,Vanhatalo, Jarno,Helle, Inari. Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills[J],2019,10(6).
APA Nevalainen, Maisa,Vanhatalo, Jarno,&Helle, Inari.(2019).Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills.ECOSPHERE,10(6).
MLA Nevalainen, Maisa,et al."Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills".ECOSPHERE 10.6(2019).
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