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DOI10.1038/s41598-019-43243-1
Large apparent growth increases in boreal forests inferred from tree-rings are an artefact of sampling biases
Duchesne, Louis1; Houle, Daniel1,2; Ouimet, Rock1; Caldwell, Liam3; Gloor, Manuel3; Brienen, Roel3
发表日期2019
ISSN2045-2322
卷号9
英文摘要

Tree rings are thought to be a powerful tool to reconstruct historical growth changes and have been widely used to assess tree responses to global warming. Demographic inferences suggest, however, that typical sampling procedures induce spurious trends in growth reconstructions. Here we use the world's largest single tree-ring dataset (283,536 trees from 136,621 sites) from Quebec, Canada, to assess to what extent growth reconstructions based on these - and thus any similar - data might be affected by this problem. Indeed, straightforward growth rate reconstructions based on these data suggest a six-fold increase in radial growth of black spruce (Picea mariana) from similar to 0.5 mm yr(-1) in 1800 to similar to 2.5 mm yr(-1) in 1990. While the strong correlation (R-2 = 0.98) between this increase and that of atmospheric CO2 could suggest a causal relationship, we here unambiguously demonstrate that this growth trend is an artefact of sampling biases caused by the absence of old, fast-growing trees (cf. "slow-grower survivorship bias") and of young, slow-growing trees (cf. "big-tree selection bias") in the dataset. At the moment, we cannot envision how to remedy the issue of incomplete representation of cohorts in existing large-scale tree-ring datasets. Thus, innovation will be needed before such datasets can be used for growth rate reconstructions.


WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/97592
作者单位1.Minist Forets Faune & Parcs, Direct Rech Forestiere, 2700 Einstein St, Quebec City, PQ G1P 3W8, Canada;
2.Consortium Reg Climatol & Adaptat Climate Change, 550 Sherbrooke St West, Montreal, PQ H3A 1B9, Canada;
3.Univ Leeds, Sch Geog, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Duchesne, Louis,Houle, Daniel,Ouimet, Rock,et al. Large apparent growth increases in boreal forests inferred from tree-rings are an artefact of sampling biases[J],2019,9.
APA Duchesne, Louis,Houle, Daniel,Ouimet, Rock,Caldwell, Liam,Gloor, Manuel,&Brienen, Roel.(2019).Large apparent growth increases in boreal forests inferred from tree-rings are an artefact of sampling biases.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,9.
MLA Duchesne, Louis,et al."Large apparent growth increases in boreal forests inferred from tree-rings are an artefact of sampling biases".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 9(2019).
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