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DOI | 10.5154/r.rchscfa.2018.10.076 |
Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt | |
Manzanilla-Quinones, Ulises; Martinez-Adriano, Cristian A.; Aguirre-Calderon, Oscar A. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 2007-3828 |
EISSN | 2007-4018 |
卷号 | 25期号:2页码:201-217 |
英文摘要 | Introduction: Climatic conditions in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt during the middle Holocene were different from today's conditions, which may have an effect on the historical distribution areas of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.). Objective: To determine whether the environmental requirements that delimit the current distribution of the sacred fir in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt have changed since 6,000 years ago. Materials and methods: A. religiosa records were obtained from the Niche Toolbox platform. The WorldClim version 2.0 variables for the current (1970-2000) and middle Holocene (CNRMCM5 and MIROC_ESM models) periods were downloaded. The distribution models were generated in MaxEnt using 75 % of the data for training and 25 % for validation. The most important variables of each period were determined with the Jackknife test. Results and discussion: The estimated sacred fir areas were similar in both periods. Approximately 86.5 % of the sacred fir potential distribution is found in protected natural areas of the zone. The limiting environmental variables of its distribution are: elevation, annual precipitation, summer precipitation, annual mean temperature and diurnal temperature oscillation. Nevado de Toluca and Mexico City had larger sacred fir areas (+2658.4 ha and +20129.7 ha, respectively) during the Middle Holocene. Annual precipitation was 80 to 224 mm higher than the current level and the temperature was 1 degrees C colder. Conclusion: The most important environmental variables for sacred fir distribution are similar to those reported in the literature, indicating similarity between the current and historical ecological niche of A. religiosa. |
WOS研究方向 | Forestry |
来源期刊 | REVISTA CHAPINGO SERIE CIENCIAS FORESTALES Y DEL AMBIENTE
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/97145 |
作者单位 | Univ Autonoma Nuevo Leon, Fac Ciencias Forestales, Carretera Nacl Kilometro 145, Linares 67700, Nuevo Leon, Mexico |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Manzanilla-Quinones, Ulises,Martinez-Adriano, Cristian A.,Aguirre-Calderon, Oscar A.. Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt[J],2019,25(2):201-217. |
APA | Manzanilla-Quinones, Ulises,Martinez-Adriano, Cristian A.,&Aguirre-Calderon, Oscar A..(2019).Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt.REVISTA CHAPINGO SERIE CIENCIAS FORESTALES Y DEL AMBIENTE,25(2),201-217. |
MLA | Manzanilla-Quinones, Ulises,et al."Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt".REVISTA CHAPINGO SERIE CIENCIAS FORESTALES Y DEL AMBIENTE 25.2(2019):201-217. |
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