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DOI10.1002/wcc.577
A review of past and projected changes in Australia's rainfall
Dey, Raktima1; Lewis, Sophie C.2; Arblaster, Julie M.3,4,5; Abram, Nerilie J.4,6
发表日期2019
ISSN1757-7780
EISSN1757-7799
卷号10期号:3
英文摘要

There has been much attention given to the spatial and temporal characteristics of changes in mean and extreme rainfall over Australia during the past century. As Australia is the second driest continent on Earth, reliable projections around the trends and variability in future rainfall are crucial for policymakers and water resource management. This article comprehensively reviews the current published literature on trends in Australia's rainfall from pre-instrumental and instrumental records, the climatic drivers of Australia's rainfall variability, attribution of the long-term trends, extreme rainfall attribution methods with particular reference to a recent case study (2010-2012 east Australia rainfall event) and projected changes of mean and extreme rainfall over Australia during the 21st century. Notable trends in the observational record of rainfall in Australia are a decrease in mean rainfall in southwest and southeast Australia and an increase in northwest Australia since 1950. The general consensus of research into Australia's future rainfall is that mean rainfall will continue to decrease in southwest Australia in a warming world, while changes over northern and eastern Australia remain uncertain. There are still significant knowledge gaps around the causes of observed trends in rainfall both in the mean and extremes, the ability of climate models to accurately represent rainfall in the Australian region and future rainfall projections. These gaps are identified, and avenues for future research directions are proposed. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Modern Climate Change


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源期刊WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/96941
作者单位1.Australian Natl Univ, Fenner Sch Environm & Soc, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia;
2.Univ New South Wales, Australian Def Force Acad, Canberra, ACT, Australia;
3.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
4.ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia;
5.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA;
6.Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Earth Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia
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GB/T 7714
Dey, Raktima,Lewis, Sophie C.,Arblaster, Julie M.,et al. A review of past and projected changes in Australia's rainfall[J],2019,10(3).
APA Dey, Raktima,Lewis, Sophie C.,Arblaster, Julie M.,&Abram, Nerilie J..(2019).A review of past and projected changes in Australia's rainfall.WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE,10(3).
MLA Dey, Raktima,et al."A review of past and projected changes in Australia's rainfall".WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE 10.3(2019).
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