气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Diverging forest land use dynamics induced by armed conflict across the tropics

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.03.006
	Diverging forest land use dynamics induced by armed conflict across the tropics
	Landholm D.M.; Pradhan P.; Kropp J.P.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0959-3780
EISSN	1872-9495
起始页码	86
结束页码	94
卷号	56 页码:86-94
英文摘要	Armed conflicts trigger region-specific mechanisms that affect land use change. Deforestation is presented as one of the most common negative environmental impacts resulting from armed conflicts, with relevant consequences in terms of greenhouse gas emissions and loss of ecosystem services. However, the impact of armed conflict on forests is complex and may simultaneously lead to positive and negative environmental outcomes, i.e. forest regrowth and deforestation, in different regions even within a country. We investigate the impact that armed conflict exerted over forest dynamics at different spatial scales in Colombia and for the global tropics during the period 1992–2015. Through the analysis of its internally displaced population (departures) our results suggest that, albeit finding forest regrowth in some municipalities, the Colombian conflict predominantly exerted a negative impact on its forests. A further examination of georeferenced fighting locations in Colombia and across the globe shows that conflict areas were 8 and 4 times more likely to undergo deforestation, respectively, in the following years in relation to average deforestation rates. This study represents a municipality level, long-term spatial analysis of the diverging effects the Colombian conflict exerted over its forest dynamics over two distinct periods of increasing and decreasing conflict intensity. Moreover, it presents the first quantified estimate of conflict's negative impact on forest ecosystems across the globe. The relationship between armed conflict and land use change is of global relevance given the recent increase of armed conflicts across the world and the importance of a possible exacerbation of armed conflicts and migration as climate change impacts increase. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Armed conflict; Colombian conflict; Deforestation; Internally displaced persons; Land use change drivers; Migration
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography
scopus关键词	conflict management; deforestation; ecosystem service; environmental impact; forest; forest dynamics; greenhouse gas; land use change; regrowth; spatial analysis; tropical region; Colombia
来源期刊	Global Environmental change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/96732
作者单位	Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, Potsdam, D-14473, Germany; Resource Economics Group, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, Berlin, 10099, Germany; Institute for Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, 14476, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Landholm D.M.,Pradhan P.,Kropp J.P.. Diverging forest land use dynamics induced by armed conflict across the tropics[J],2019,56:86-94.
APA	Landholm D.M.,Pradhan P.,&Kropp J.P..(2019).Diverging forest land use dynamics induced by armed conflict across the tropics.Global Environmental change,56,86-94.
MLA	Landholm D.M.,et al."Diverging forest land use dynamics induced by armed conflict across the tropics".Global Environmental change 56(2019):86-94.