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DOI10.1080/1540496X.2019.1597704
A Forecasting Analysis on China'S Energy Use and Carbon Emissions Based on A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model
Guo, Zhengquan1; Zhang, Xingping2,3; Ding, Yihong2; Zhao, Xiaonan1
发表日期2019
ISSN1540-496X
EISSN1558-0938
英文摘要

This paper constructs a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to forecast China's economy, energy use, and carbon emissions. The fossil energy sector and clean electricity sector are disaggregated in detail to obtain robust results. The analysis results show that the industry and energy structure will obviously change along with a high and stable economy growth trend by 2030. Although energy intensity and carbon emission intensity in China will decrease markedly, carbon emissions will keep rising and will not peak by 2030. Therefore, China's government must adopt effective measures to realize the commitment goal.


WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; International Relations
来源期刊EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/96365
作者单位1.North China Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China;
2.North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, 2 Beinong Rd, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China;
3.North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Guo, Zhengquan,Zhang, Xingping,Ding, Yihong,et al. A Forecasting Analysis on China'S Energy Use and Carbon Emissions Based on A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model[J],2019.
APA Guo, Zhengquan,Zhang, Xingping,Ding, Yihong,&Zhao, Xiaonan.(2019).A Forecasting Analysis on China'S Energy Use and Carbon Emissions Based on A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model.EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE.
MLA Guo, Zhengquan,et al."A Forecasting Analysis on China'S Energy Use and Carbon Emissions Based on A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model".EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE (2019).
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