Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.14538 |
Phenology and productivity in a montane bird assemblage: Trends and responses to elevation and climate variation | |
Saracco, James F.1; Siegel, Rodney B.1; Helton, Lauren1; Stock, Sarah L.2; Desante, David F.1 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
卷号 | 25期号:3页码:985-996 |
英文摘要 | Climate variation has been linked to historical and predicted future distributions and dynamics of wildlife populations. However, demographic mechanisms underlying these changes remain poorly understood. Here, we assessed variation and trends in climate (annual snowfall and spring temperature anomalies) and avian demographic variables from mist-netting data (breeding phenology and productivity) at six sites along an elevation gradient spanning the montane zone of Yosemite National Park between 1993 and 2017. We implemented multi-species hierarchical models to relate demographic responses to elevation and climate covariates. Annual variation in climate and avian demographic variables was high. Snowfall declined (10 mm/year at the highest site, 2 mm at the lowest site), while spring temperature increased (0.045 degrees C/year) over the study period. Breeding phenology (mean first capture date of juvenile birds) advanced by 0.2 day/year (5 days); and productivity (probability of capturing a juvenile bird) increased by 0.8%/year. Breeding phenology was 12 days earlier at the lowest compared to highest site, 18 days earlier in years with lowest compared to highest snowfall anomalies, and 6 d earlier in relatively warm springs (after controlling for snowfall effects). Productivity was positively related to elevation. However, elevation-productivity responses varied among species; species with higher productivity at higher compared to lower elevations tended to be species with documented range retractions during the past century. Productivity tended to be negatively related to snowfall and was positively related to spring temperature. Overall, our results suggest that birds have tracked the variable climatic conditions in this system and have benefited from a trend toward warmer, drier springs. However, we caution that continued warming and multi-year drought or extreme weather years may alter these relationships in the future. Multi-species demographic modeling, such as implemented here, can provide an important tool for guiding conservation of species assemblages under global change. |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/94225 |
作者单位 | 1.Inst Bird Populat, Point Reyes Stn, CA 94956 USA; 2.Yosemite Natl Pk, Div Resources Management & Sci, El Portal, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Saracco, James F.,Siegel, Rodney B.,Helton, Lauren,et al. Phenology and productivity in a montane bird assemblage: Trends and responses to elevation and climate variation[J],2019,25(3):985-996. |
APA | Saracco, James F.,Siegel, Rodney B.,Helton, Lauren,Stock, Sarah L.,&Desante, David F..(2019).Phenology and productivity in a montane bird assemblage: Trends and responses to elevation and climate variation.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,25(3),985-996. |
MLA | Saracco, James F.,et al."Phenology and productivity in a montane bird assemblage: Trends and responses to elevation and climate variation".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 25.3(2019):985-996. |
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