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DOI10.1038/s41558-019-0419-7
Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies
Le Quere, Corinne1; Korsbakken, Jan Ivar2; Wilson, Charlie1,3; Tosun, Jale4,5; Andrew, Robbie2; Andres, Robert J.6; Canadell, Josep G.7; Jordan, Andrew1; Peters, Glen P.2; van Vuuren, Detlef P.8,9
发表日期2019
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
卷号9期号:3页码:213-+
英文摘要

Global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) from fossil fuels and industry increased by 2.2% per year on average between 2005 and 2015(1). Global emissions need to peak and decline rapidly to limit climate change to well below 2 degrees C of warming(2,3), which is one of the goals of the Paris Agreement(4). Untangling the reasons underlying recent changes in emissions trajectories is critical to guide efforts to attain those goals. Here we analyse the drivers of decreasing CO2 emissions in a group of 18 developed economies that have decarbonized over the period 2005-2015. We show that within this group, the displacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy and decreases in energy use explain decreasing CO2 emissions. However, the decrease in energy use can be explained at least in part by a lower growth in gross domestic product. Correlation analysis suggests that policies on renewable energy are supporting emissions reductions and displacing fossil fuels in these 18 countries, but not elsewhere, and that policies on energy efficiency are supporting lower energy use in these 18 countries, as well as more widely. Overall, the evidence shows that efforts to reduce emissions are underway in many countries, but these efforts need to be maintained and enhanced by more stringent policy actions to support a global peak in emissions followed by global emissions reductions in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement(3).


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/93783
作者单位1.Univ East Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich, Norfolk, England;
2.CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, Oslo, Norway;
3.IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria;
4.Heidelberg Univ, Inst Polit Sci, Heidelberg, Germany;
5.Heidelberg Univ, Heidelberg Ctr Environm, Heidelberg, Germany;
6.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN USA;
7.CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Global Carbon Project, Canberra, ACT, Australia;
8.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, The Hague, Netherlands;
9.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Utrecht, Netherlands
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Le Quere, Corinne,Korsbakken, Jan Ivar,Wilson, Charlie,et al. Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies[J],2019,9(3):213-+.
APA Le Quere, Corinne.,Korsbakken, Jan Ivar.,Wilson, Charlie.,Tosun, Jale.,Andrew, Robbie.,...&van Vuuren, Detlef P..(2019).Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,9(3),213-+.
MLA Le Quere, Corinne,et al."Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 9.3(2019):213-+.
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