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DOI10.1371/journal.pone.0212790
Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman
Noori, Roohollah1,2; Tian, Fuqiang2; Berndtsson, Ronny3,4; Abbasi, Mahmud Reza5; Naseh, Mohammadreza Vesali6; Modabberi, Anahita1; Soltani, Ali1; Klove, Bjorn7
发表日期2019
ISSN1932-6203
卷号14期号:2
英文摘要

Climate change's effect on sea surface temperature (SST) at the regional scale vary due to driving forces that include potential changes in ocean circulation and internal climate variability, ice cover, thermal stability, and ocean mixing layer depth. For a better understanding of future effects, it is important to analyze historical changes in SST at regional scales and test prediction techniques. In this study, the variation in SST across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman (PG&GO) during the past four decades was analyzed and predicted to the end of 21 st century using a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) model. As input, daily optimum interpolation SST anomaly (DOISSTA) data, available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States, were used. Descriptive analyses and POD results demonstrated a gradually increasing trend in DOISSTA in the PG&GO over the past four decades. The spatial distribution of DOISSTA indicated: (1) that shallow parts of the Persian Gulf have experienced minimum and maximum values of DOISSTA and (2) high variability in DOISSTA in shallow parts of the Persian Gulf, including some parts of southern and northwestern coasts. Prediction of future SST using the POD model revealed the highest warming during summer in the entire PG&GO by 2100 and the lowest warming during fall and winter in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, respectively. The model indicated that monthly SST in the Persian Gulf may increase by up to 4.3 degrees C in August by the turn of the century. Similarly, mean annual changes in SST across the PG&GO may increase by about 2.2 degrees C by 2100.


WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
来源期刊PLOS ONE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/93752
作者单位1.Univ Tehran, Sch Environm, Coll Engn, Tehran, Iran;
2.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China;
3.Lund Univ, Dept Water Resources Engn, Lund, Sweden;
4.Lund Univ, Ctr Middle Eastern Studies, Lund, Sweden;
5.Natl Inst Oceanog & Atmospher Sci, Tehran, Iran;
6.Arak Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Fac Engn, Arak, Iran;
7.Univ Oulu, Fac Technol, Water Resources & Environm Engn Res Unit, Oulu, Finland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Noori, Roohollah,Tian, Fuqiang,Berndtsson, Ronny,et al. Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman[J],2019,14(2).
APA Noori, Roohollah.,Tian, Fuqiang.,Berndtsson, Ronny.,Abbasi, Mahmud Reza.,Naseh, Mohammadreza Vesali.,...&Klove, Bjorn.(2019).Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.PLOS ONE,14(2).
MLA Noori, Roohollah,et al."Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman".PLOS ONE 14.2(2019).
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