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DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0212790 |
Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman | |
Noori, Roohollah1,2; Tian, Fuqiang2; Berndtsson, Ronny3,4; Abbasi, Mahmud Reza5; Naseh, Mohammadreza Vesali6; Modabberi, Anahita1; Soltani, Ali1; Klove, Bjorn7 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 1932-6203 |
卷号 | 14期号:2 |
英文摘要 | Climate change's effect on sea surface temperature (SST) at the regional scale vary due to driving forces that include potential changes in ocean circulation and internal climate variability, ice cover, thermal stability, and ocean mixing layer depth. For a better understanding of future effects, it is important to analyze historical changes in SST at regional scales and test prediction techniques. In this study, the variation in SST across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman (PG&GO) during the past four decades was analyzed and predicted to the end of 21 st century using a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) model. As input, daily optimum interpolation SST anomaly (DOISSTA) data, available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States, were used. Descriptive analyses and POD results demonstrated a gradually increasing trend in DOISSTA in the PG&GO over the past four decades. The spatial distribution of DOISSTA indicated: (1) that shallow parts of the Persian Gulf have experienced minimum and maximum values of DOISSTA and (2) high variability in DOISSTA in shallow parts of the Persian Gulf, including some parts of southern and northwestern coasts. Prediction of future SST using the POD model revealed the highest warming during summer in the entire PG&GO by 2100 and the lowest warming during fall and winter in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, respectively. The model indicated that monthly SST in the Persian Gulf may increase by up to 4.3 degrees C in August by the turn of the century. Similarly, mean annual changes in SST across the PG&GO may increase by about 2.2 degrees C by 2100. |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
来源期刊 | PLOS ONE
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/93752 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Tehran, Sch Environm, Coll Engn, Tehran, Iran; 2.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Lund Univ, Dept Water Resources Engn, Lund, Sweden; 4.Lund Univ, Ctr Middle Eastern Studies, Lund, Sweden; 5.Natl Inst Oceanog & Atmospher Sci, Tehran, Iran; 6.Arak Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Fac Engn, Arak, Iran; 7.Univ Oulu, Fac Technol, Water Resources & Environm Engn Res Unit, Oulu, Finland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Noori, Roohollah,Tian, Fuqiang,Berndtsson, Ronny,et al. Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman[J],2019,14(2). |
APA | Noori, Roohollah.,Tian, Fuqiang.,Berndtsson, Ronny.,Abbasi, Mahmud Reza.,Naseh, Mohammadreza Vesali.,...&Klove, Bjorn.(2019).Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.PLOS ONE,14(2). |
MLA | Noori, Roohollah,et al."Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman".PLOS ONE 14.2(2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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