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DOI10.1029/2018GL081888
Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California
Mallakpour, Iman1; Aghakouchak, Amir1; Sadegh, Mojtaba2
发表日期2019
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
卷号46期号:4页码:2130-2139
英文摘要

Existing major reservoirs in California, with average age above 50 years, were built in the previous century with limited data records and flood hazard assessment. Changes in climate and land use are anticipated to alter statistical properties of inflow to these infrastructure systems and potentially increase their hydrological failure probability. Because of large socioeconomic repercussions of infrastructure incidents, revisiting dam failure risks associated with possible shifts in the streamflow regime is fundamental for societal resilience. Here we compute historical and projected flood return periods as a proxy for potential changes in the risk of hydrological failure of dams in a warming climate. Our results show that hydrological failure probability is likely to increase for most dams in California by 2100. Noticeably, the New Don Pedro, Shasta, Lewiston, and Trinity Dams are associated with highest potential changes in flood hazard.


WOS研究方向Geology
来源期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/93748
作者单位1.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA 92697 USA;
2.Boise State Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Boise, ID 83725 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mallakpour, Iman,Aghakouchak, Amir,Sadegh, Mojtaba. Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California[J],2019,46(4):2130-2139.
APA Mallakpour, Iman,Aghakouchak, Amir,&Sadegh, Mojtaba.(2019).Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(4),2130-2139.
MLA Mallakpour, Iman,et al."Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.4(2019):2130-2139.
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