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DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.151
Projections of water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under future climate change in an alpine tundra ecosystem in the southern Rocky Mountains using a biogeochemical model
Dong, Zheng1; Driscoll, Charles T.1; Campbell, John L.2; Pourmokhtarian, Afshin3; Stoner, Anne M. K.4; Hayhoe, Katharine4
发表日期2019
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
卷号650页码:1451-1464
英文摘要

Using statistically downscaled future climate scenarios and a version of the biogeochemical model (PnET-BGC) that was modified for use in the alpine tundra, we investigated changes in water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under the Representative Concentration Pathways at Niwot Ridge in Colorado, USA. Our simulations indicate that future hydrology will become more water-limited over the short-term due to the temperature-induced increases in leaf conductance, but remains energy-limited over the longer term because of anticipated future decreases in leaf area and increases in annual precipitation. The seasonal distribution of the water supply will become decoupled from energy inputs due to advanced snowmelt, causing soil moisture stress to plants during the growing season. Decreases in summer soil moisture are projected to not only affect leaf production, but also reduce decomposition of soil organic matter in summer despite increasing temperature. Advanced future snowmelt in spring and increasing rain to snow ratio in fall are projected to increase soil moisture and decomposition of soil organic matter. The extended growing season is projected to increase carbon sequestration by 2% under the high radiative forcing scenario, despite a 31% reduction in leaf display due to the soil moisture stress. Our analyses demonstrate that future nitrogen uptake by alpine plants is regulated by nitrogen supply from mineralization, but plant nitrogen demand may also affect plant uptake under the warmer scenario. PnET-BGC simulations also suggest that potential CO2 effects on alpine plants are projected to cause larger increases in plant carbon storage than leaf and root production. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/93346
作者单位1.Syracuse Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Syracuse, NY 13244 USA;
2.US Forest Serv, Northern Res Stn, Durham, NH 03824 USA;
3.Wentworth Inst Technol, Dept Construct Management, Boston, MA 02115 USA;
4.Texas Tech Univ, Climate Sci Ctr, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA
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GB/T 7714
Dong, Zheng,Driscoll, Charles T.,Campbell, John L.,et al. Projections of water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under future climate change in an alpine tundra ecosystem in the southern Rocky Mountains using a biogeochemical model[J],2019,650:1451-1464.
APA Dong, Zheng,Driscoll, Charles T.,Campbell, John L.,Pourmokhtarian, Afshin,Stoner, Anne M. K.,&Hayhoe, Katharine.(2019).Projections of water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under future climate change in an alpine tundra ecosystem in the southern Rocky Mountains using a biogeochemical model.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,650,1451-1464.
MLA Dong, Zheng,et al."Projections of water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under future climate change in an alpine tundra ecosystem in the southern Rocky Mountains using a biogeochemical model".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 650(2019):1451-1464.
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