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DOI10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091
Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges
Sugiyama, Masahiro1; Fujimori, Shinichiro2,3; Wada, Kenichi4; Endo, Seiya5; Fujii, Yasumasa6; Komiyama, Ryoichi6; Kato, Etsushi7; Kurosawa, Atsushi7; Matsuo, Yuhji5; Oshiro, Ken8; Sano, Fuminori4; Shiraki, Hiroto9
发表日期2019
ISSN0360-5442
EISSN1873-6785
卷号167页码:1120-1131
英文摘要

Japan is the sixth largest greenhouse gas emitter in 2016 and plays an important role to attain the long-term climate goals of the Paris Agreement. One of the key policy issues in Japan's energy and environmental policy arena is the energy system transition to achieve 80% emissions reduction in 2050, a current policy goal set in 2016. To contribute to the ongoing policy debate, this paper focuses on energy-related CO2 emissions and analyzes such decarbonization scenarios that are consistent with the government goals. We employ six energy-economic and integrated assessment models to reveal decarbonization challenges in the energy system. The modeling results show that Japan's mitigation scenarios are characterized by high marginal costs of abatement. They also suggest that the industrial sector is likely to have a large final energy share and significant residual emissions under the 80% reduction scenario, though it is generally thought that the transport sector would have large decarbonization challenges. The present findings imply that not only energy policy but also industrial policy may be relevant to the long-term environmental target. Given the high marginal costs exceeding those of negative emissions technologies that could place a cost ceiling, further model development would be crucial. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.


WOS研究方向Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
来源期刊ENERGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/92077
作者单位1.Univ Tokyo, Policy Alternat Res Inst, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1130033, Japan;
2.Kyoto Univ, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoto, Japan;
3.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan;
4.Res Inst Innovat Technol Earth, Kizugawa, Japan;
5.Inst Energy Econ, Tokyo, Japan;
6.Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Tokyo, Japan;
7.Inst Appl Energy, Tokyo, Japan;
8.Mizuho Informat & Res Inst Inc, Tokyo, Japan;
9.Univ Shiga Prefecture, Sch Environm Sci, Hikone, Japan
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Sugiyama, Masahiro,Fujimori, Shinichiro,Wada, Kenichi,et al. Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges[J],2019,167:1120-1131.
APA Sugiyama, Masahiro.,Fujimori, Shinichiro.,Wada, Kenichi.,Endo, Seiya.,Fujii, Yasumasa.,...&Shiraki, Hiroto.(2019).Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges.ENERGY,167,1120-1131.
MLA Sugiyama, Masahiro,et al."Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges".ENERGY 167(2019):1120-1131.
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