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DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.08.019 |
Correlation of dengue incidence and rainfall occurrence using wavelet transform for Joao Pessoa city | |
Guimaraes Santos, Celso Augusto1; Guerra-Gomes, Isabel Cristina2; Gois, Bruna Macedo2; Peixoto, Rephany Fonseca2; Lima Keesen, Tatjana Souza2; da Silva, Richarde Marques3 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
卷号 | 647页码:794-805 |
英文摘要 | Dengue, a reemerging disease, is one of the most important viral diseases transmitted by mosquitoes. In this study, 55,680 cases of dengue between 2007 and 2015 were reported in Paraiba State, among which, 30% were reported in Joao Pessoa city, with peaks in 2015, 2011 and 2013. Weather is considered to be a key factor in the temporal and spatial distribution of vector-transmitted diseases. Thus, the relationship between rainfall occurrence and dengue incidences reported from 2007 to 2015 in Joao Pessoa city, Paraiba State, Brazil, was analyzed by means of wavelet transform, when a frequency analysis of both rainfall and dengue incidence signals was performed. To determine the relationship between rainfall and the incidence of dengue cases, a sample cross correlation function was performed to identify lags in the rainfall and temperature variables that might be useful predictors of dengue incidence. The total rainfall within 90 days presented the most significant association with the number of dengue cases, whereas temperature was not found to be a useful predictor. The correlation between rainfall and the occurrence of dengue cases showed that the number of cases increased in the first few months after the rainy season. Wavelet analysis showed that in addition to the annual frequency presented in both time series, the dengue time series also presented the 3-year frequency from 2010. Cross wavelet analysis revealed that such an annual frequency of both time series was in phase; however, after 2010, it was also possible to observe 45 degrees up phase arrows, which indicated that rainfall in the present year led to an increased dengue incidence the following year. Thus, this approach to analyze surveillance data might be useful for developing public health policies for dengue prevention and control. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/92010 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Fed Paraiba, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, BR-58051900 Joao Pessoa, Paraiba, Brazil; 2.Univ Fed Paraiba, Dept Mol & Cellular Biol, BR-58051900 Joao Pessoa, Paraiba, Brazil; 3.Univ Fed Paraiba, Dept Geosci, BR-58051900 Joao Pessoa, Paraiba, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guimaraes Santos, Celso Augusto,Guerra-Gomes, Isabel Cristina,Gois, Bruna Macedo,et al. Correlation of dengue incidence and rainfall occurrence using wavelet transform for Joao Pessoa city[J],2019,647:794-805. |
APA | Guimaraes Santos, Celso Augusto,Guerra-Gomes, Isabel Cristina,Gois, Bruna Macedo,Peixoto, Rephany Fonseca,Lima Keesen, Tatjana Souza,&da Silva, Richarde Marques.(2019).Correlation of dengue incidence and rainfall occurrence using wavelet transform for Joao Pessoa city.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,647,794-805. |
MLA | Guimaraes Santos, Celso Augusto,et al."Correlation of dengue incidence and rainfall occurrence using wavelet transform for Joao Pessoa city".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 647(2019):794-805. |
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