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DOI10.3934/dcdsb.2018099
IMPACT OF SPATIALLY HETEROGENEOUS TEMPERATURE ON THE DYNAMICS OF DENGUE EPIDEMICS
Vaidya, Naveen K.1; Li, Xianping2; Wang, Feng-Bin3,4
发表日期2019
ISSN1531-3492
EISSN1553-524X
卷号24期号:1页码:321-349
英文摘要

In recent years, the growing spatial spread of dengue, a mosquitoborne disease, has been a major international public health concern. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe an impact of spatially heterogeneous temperature on the dynamics of dengue epidemics. We first consider homogeneous temperature profiles across space and study sensitivity of the basic reproduction number to the environmental temperature. We then introduce spatially heterogeneous temperature into the model and establish some important properties of dengue dynamics. In particular, we formulate two indices, mosquito reproduction number and infection invasion threshold, which completely determine the global threshold dynamics of the model. We also perform numerical simulations to explore the impact of spatially heterogeneous temperature on the disease dynamics. Our analytical and numerical results reveal that spatial heterogeneity of temperature can have significant impact on expansion of dengue epidemics. Our results, including threshold indices, may provide useful information for effective deployment of spatially targeted interventions.


WOS研究方向Mathematics
来源期刊DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS-SERIES B
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90539
作者单位1.San Diego State Univ, Dept Math & Stat, San Diego, CA 92182 USA;
2.Univ Missouri, Dept Math & Stat, Kansas City, MO 64110 USA;
3.Chang Gung Univ, Ctr Gen Educ, Dept Nat Sci, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan;
4.Chang Gung Mem Hosp, Community Med Res Ctr, Keelung 204, Taiwan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Vaidya, Naveen K.,Li, Xianping,Wang, Feng-Bin. IMPACT OF SPATIALLY HETEROGENEOUS TEMPERATURE ON THE DYNAMICS OF DENGUE EPIDEMICS[J],2019,24(1):321-349.
APA Vaidya, Naveen K.,Li, Xianping,&Wang, Feng-Bin.(2019).IMPACT OF SPATIALLY HETEROGENEOUS TEMPERATURE ON THE DYNAMICS OF DENGUE EPIDEMICS.DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS-SERIES B,24(1),321-349.
MLA Vaidya, Naveen K.,et al."IMPACT OF SPATIALLY HETEROGENEOUS TEMPERATURE ON THE DYNAMICS OF DENGUE EPIDEMICS".DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS-SERIES B 24.1(2019):321-349.
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