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DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4192-5
The roles of static stability and tropical-extratropical interactions in the summer interannual variability of the North Atlantic sector
Mbengue, Cheikh Oumar1; Woollings, Tim1; Dacre, Helen F.2; Hodges, Kevin I.2
发表日期2019
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
卷号52期号:3-4页码:1299-1315
英文摘要

Summer seasonal forecast skill in the North Atlantic sector is lower than winter skill. To identify potential controls on predictability, the sensitivity of North Atlantic baroclinicity to atmospheric drivers is quantified. Using ERA-INTERIM reanalysis data, North Atlantic storm-track baroclinicity is shown to be less sensitive to meridional temperature-gradient variability in summer. Static stability shapes the sector's interannual variability by modulating the sensitivity of baroclinicity to variations in meridional temperature gradients and tropopause height and by modifying the baroclinicity itself. High static stability anomalies at upper levels result in more zonal extratropical cyclone tracks and higher eddy kinetic energy over the British Isles in the summertime. These static stability anomalies are not strongly related to the summer NAO; but they are correlated with the suppression of convection over the tropical Atlantic and with a poleward-shifted subtropical jet. These results suggest a non-local driver of North Atlantic variability. Furthermore, they imply that improved representations of convection over the south-eastern part of North America and the tropical Atlantic might improve summer seasonal forecast skill.


WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90324
作者单位1.Atmospher Ocean & Planetary Phys, Sherrington Rd, Oxford OX1 3PU, England;
2.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England
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GB/T 7714
Mbengue, Cheikh Oumar,Woollings, Tim,Dacre, Helen F.,et al. The roles of static stability and tropical-extratropical interactions in the summer interannual variability of the North Atlantic sector[J],2019,52(3-4):1299-1315.
APA Mbengue, Cheikh Oumar,Woollings, Tim,Dacre, Helen F.,&Hodges, Kevin I..(2019).The roles of static stability and tropical-extratropical interactions in the summer interannual variability of the North Atlantic sector.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52(3-4),1299-1315.
MLA Mbengue, Cheikh Oumar,et al."The roles of static stability and tropical-extratropical interactions in the summer interannual variability of the North Atlantic sector".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52.3-4(2019):1299-1315.
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