Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-018-4175-6 |
Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms | |
Lu, Fuzhi1; Ma, Chunmei1,2; Zhu, Cheng1; Lu, Huayu1,2; Zhang, Xiaojian1; Huang, Kangyou3; Guo, Tianhong1; Li, Kaifeng4; Li, Lan5; Li, Bing6; Zhang, Wenqing7 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
卷号 | 52期号:1-2页码:969-989 |
英文摘要 | Projecting how the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) rainfall will change with global warming is essential for human sustainability. Reconstructing Holocene climate can provide critical insight into its forcing and future variability. However, quantitative reconstructions of Holocene summer precipitation are lacking for tropical and subtropical China, which is the core region of the EASM influence. Here we present high-resolution annual and summer rainfall reconstructions covering the whole Holocene based on the pollen record at Xinjie site from the lower Yangtze region. Summer rainfall was less seasonal and similar to 30% higher than modern values at similar to 10-6calkyr BP and gradually declined thereafter, which broadly followed the Northern Hemisphere summer insolation. Over the last two millennia, however, the summer rainfall has deviated from the downward trend of summer insolation. We argue that greenhouse gas forcing might have offset summer insolation forcing and contributed to the late Holocene rainfall anomaly, which is supported by the TraCE-21ka transient simulation. Besides, tropical sea-surface temperatures could modulate summer rainfall by affecting evaporation of seawater. The rainfall pattern concurs with stalagmite and other proxy records from southern China but differs from mid-Holocene rainfall maximum recorded in arid/semiarid northern China. Summer rainfall in northern China was strongly suppressed by high-northern-latitude ice volume forcing during the early Holocene in spite of high summer insolation. In addition, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation might be responsible for droughts of northern China and floods of southern China during the late Holocene. Furthermore, quantitative rainfall reconstructions indicate that the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulations underestimate the magnitude of Holocene precipitation changes. Our results highlight the spatial and temporal variability of the Holocene EASM precipitation and potential forcing mechanisms, which are very helpful for calibration of paleoclimate models and prediction of future precipitation changes in East Asia in the scenario of global warming. |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90167 |
作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Oceanog Sci, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.Jiangsu Collaborat Innovat Ctr Climate Change, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 4.Henan Univ, Coll Environm & Planning, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China; 5.Sichuan Univ, Sch Hist & Culture, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China; 6.Hebei Normal Univ, Coll Resources & Environm, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China; 7.China Geol Survey, Ctr Hydrogeol & Environm Geol, Baoding 071051, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lu, Fuzhi,Ma, Chunmei,Zhu, Cheng,et al. Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms[J],2019,52(1-2):969-989. |
APA | Lu, Fuzhi.,Ma, Chunmei.,Zhu, Cheng.,Lu, Huayu.,Zhang, Xiaojian.,...&Zhang, Wenqing.(2019).Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52(1-2),969-989. |
MLA | Lu, Fuzhi,et al."Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52.1-2(2019):969-989. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。