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DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4175-6
Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms
Lu, Fuzhi1; Ma, Chunmei1,2; Zhu, Cheng1; Lu, Huayu1,2; Zhang, Xiaojian1; Huang, Kangyou3; Guo, Tianhong1; Li, Kaifeng4; Li, Lan5; Li, Bing6; Zhang, Wenqing7
发表日期2019
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
卷号52期号:1-2页码:969-989
英文摘要

Projecting how the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) rainfall will change with global warming is essential for human sustainability. Reconstructing Holocene climate can provide critical insight into its forcing and future variability. However, quantitative reconstructions of Holocene summer precipitation are lacking for tropical and subtropical China, which is the core region of the EASM influence. Here we present high-resolution annual and summer rainfall reconstructions covering the whole Holocene based on the pollen record at Xinjie site from the lower Yangtze region. Summer rainfall was less seasonal and similar to 30% higher than modern values at similar to 10-6calkyr BP and gradually declined thereafter, which broadly followed the Northern Hemisphere summer insolation. Over the last two millennia, however, the summer rainfall has deviated from the downward trend of summer insolation. We argue that greenhouse gas forcing might have offset summer insolation forcing and contributed to the late Holocene rainfall anomaly, which is supported by the TraCE-21ka transient simulation. Besides, tropical sea-surface temperatures could modulate summer rainfall by affecting evaporation of seawater. The rainfall pattern concurs with stalagmite and other proxy records from southern China but differs from mid-Holocene rainfall maximum recorded in arid/semiarid northern China. Summer rainfall in northern China was strongly suppressed by high-northern-latitude ice volume forcing during the early Holocene in spite of high summer insolation. In addition, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation might be responsible for droughts of northern China and floods of southern China during the late Holocene. Furthermore, quantitative rainfall reconstructions indicate that the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulations underestimate the magnitude of Holocene precipitation changes. Our results highlight the spatial and temporal variability of the Holocene EASM precipitation and potential forcing mechanisms, which are very helpful for calibration of paleoclimate models and prediction of future precipitation changes in East Asia in the scenario of global warming.


WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90167
作者单位1.Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Oceanog Sci, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
2.Jiangsu Collaborat Innovat Ctr Climate Change, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
4.Henan Univ, Coll Environm & Planning, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China;
5.Sichuan Univ, Sch Hist & Culture, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China;
6.Hebei Normal Univ, Coll Resources & Environm, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China;
7.China Geol Survey, Ctr Hydrogeol & Environm Geol, Baoding 071051, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lu, Fuzhi,Ma, Chunmei,Zhu, Cheng,et al. Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms[J],2019,52(1-2):969-989.
APA Lu, Fuzhi.,Ma, Chunmei.,Zhu, Cheng.,Lu, Huayu.,Zhang, Xiaojian.,...&Zhang, Wenqing.(2019).Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52(1-2),969-989.
MLA Lu, Fuzhi,et al."Variability of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation during the Holocene and possible forcing mechanisms".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52.1-2(2019):969-989.
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