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DOI10.1016/j.geoderma.2019.04.034
Projections of future soil temperature in northeast Iran
Araghi, Alireza1; Adamowski, Jan2; Martinez, Christopher J.3; Olesen, Jorgen Eivind4
发表日期2019
ISSN0016-7061
EISSN1872-6259
卷号349页码:11-24
英文摘要

Soil temperature (Ts) is an important meteorological variable that noticeably impacts ecology, agriculture, and hydrology. In contrast to air temperature, there has been little focus on the projection of Ts in the future under climate change. In this study, future Ts were estimated at three weather stations (Ghoochan, Gonabad and Mashhad) in northeast Iran using an ensemble of 17 General Circulation Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). These Ts were analyzed under different representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios by applying the Soil Temperature and Moisture Model (STM2). For each site, projected estimates were made for 10-year periods between 2025 and 2095, at depths of 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 cm. Analysis of the data from the three stations yielded Ts increments ranging from 0.8 to 1.5 degrees C, 1.2-2.3 degrees C, and 2.4-4.4 degrees C, based on RCP scenarios RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5, respectively. Increased Ts may enhance crop development, especially during crop emergence and during parts of the vegetative period, but can also impact soil processes such as the rate of nutrient and CO2 release from soil organic matter, and the rate of evaporation. Due to this phenomenon, increased Ts can create faster and higher water deficits in soil, especially in arid to semi-arid climates. The method used in this study is applicable to diverse geographical contexts and the authors recommend similar studies be undertaken elsewhere in order to obtain further projected Ts data. The optimization of the current method may be particularly useful for future agro-climatological studies, as Ts impacts both plant and soil processes in addition to soil-atmosphere exchanges.


WOS研究方向Agriculture
来源期刊GEODERMA
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/90130
作者单位1.Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Fac Agr, Dept Water Sci & Engn, Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan, Iran;
2.McGill Univ, Fac Agr & Environm Sci, Dept Bioresource Engn, Ste Anne De Bellevue, PQ, Canada;
3.Univ Florida, Inst Food & Agr Sci, Dept Agr & Biol Engn, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA;
4.Aarhus Univ, Dept Agroecol, Tjele, Denmark
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Araghi, Alireza,Adamowski, Jan,Martinez, Christopher J.,et al. Projections of future soil temperature in northeast Iran[J],2019,349:11-24.
APA Araghi, Alireza,Adamowski, Jan,Martinez, Christopher J.,&Olesen, Jorgen Eivind.(2019).Projections of future soil temperature in northeast Iran.GEODERMA,349,11-24.
MLA Araghi, Alireza,et al."Projections of future soil temperature in northeast Iran".GEODERMA 349(2019):11-24.
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