Climate Change Data Portal
| DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.12.003 |
| Climate, conflict and forced migration | |
| Abel G.J.; Brottrager M.; Crespo Cuaresma J.; Muttarak R. | |
| 发表日期 | 2019 |
| ISSN | 0959-3780 |
| EISSN | 1872-9495 |
| 起始页码 | 239 |
| 结束页码 | 249 |
| 卷号 | 54页码:239-249 |
| 英文摘要 | Despite the lack of robust empirical evidence, a growing number of media reports attempt to link climate change to the ongoing violent conflicts in Syria and other parts of the world, as well as to the migration crisis in Europe. Exploiting bilateral data on asylum seeking applications for 157 countries over the period 2006–2015, we assess the determinants of refugee flows using a gravity model which accounts for endogenous selection in order to examine the causal link between climate, conflict and forced migration. Our results indicate that climatic conditions, by affecting drought severity and the likelihood of armed conflict, played a significant role as an explanatory factor for asylum seeking in the period 2011–2015. The effect of climate on conflict occurrence is particularly relevant for countries in Western Asia in the period 2010–2012 during when many countries were undergoing political transformation. This finding suggests that the impact of climate on conflict and asylum seeking flows is limited to specific time period and contexts. © 2019 The Authors |
| 关键词 | Asylum seekerClimate changeConflictEndogenous selectionForced migrationGravity modelRefugeeSimultaneous equationsSPEI |
| 英文关键词 | Asylum seeker; Climate change; Conflict; Endogenous selection; Forced migration; Gravity model; Refugee; Simultaneous equations; SPEI |
| 学科领域 | Environmental Sciences;Environmental Studies;Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000458468400023 |
| scopus关键词 | asylum seeker; climate change; climate effect; conflict management; forced migration; gravity survey; migratory population; numerical model; refugee; Europe; Syrian Arab Republic |
| 来源期刊 | Global Environmental change
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/82228 |
| 作者单位 | Asian Demographic Research Institute (ADRI), Shanghai University, China and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Austria; Johannes Kepler University Linz (JKU) and Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), Austria; Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Welthandelsplatz 1, Vienna, 1090, Austria; School of International Development, University of East Anglia (UK) and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Austria |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Abel G.J.,Brottrager M.,Crespo Cuaresma J.,et al. Climate, conflict and forced migration[J],2019,54:239-249. |
| APA | Abel G.J.,Brottrager M.,Crespo Cuaresma J.,&Muttarak R..(2019).Climate, conflict and forced migration.Global Environmental change,54,239-249. |
| MLA | Abel G.J.,et al."Climate, conflict and forced migration".Global Environmental change 54(2019):239-249. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
