气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.11.012
	Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios
	Daioglou V.; Doelman J.C.; Wicke B.; Faaij A.; van Vuuren D.P.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0959-3780
EISSN	1872-9495
起始页码	88
结束页码	101
卷号	54 页码:88-101
英文摘要	Biomass is often seen as a key component of future energy systems as it can be used for heat and electricity production, as a transport fuel, and a feedstock for chemicals. Furthermore, it can be used in combination with carbon capture and storage to provide so-called “negative emissions”. At the same time, however, its production will require land, possibly impacting food security, land-based carbon stocks, and other environmental services. Thus, the strategies adopted in the supply, conversion, and use of biomass have a significant impact on its effectiveness as a climate change mitigation measure. We use the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model to project three different global, long term scenarios spanning different socioeconomic futures with varying rates of population growth, economic growth, and technological change, and investigate the role of biomass in meeting strict climate targets. Using these scenarios we highlight different possibilities for biomass supply and demand, and provide insights on the requirements and challenges for the effective use of this resource as a climate change mitigation measure. The results show that in scenarios meeting the 1.5 °C target, biomass could exceed 20% of final energy consumption, or 115–180 EJPrim/yr in 2050. Such a supply of bioenergy can only be achieved without extreme levels land use change if agricultural yields improve significantly and effective land zoning is implemented. Furthermore, the results highlight that strict mitigation targets are contingent on the availability of advanced technologies such as lignocellulosic fuels and carbon capture and storage. © 2018 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Bioenergy Scenario analysis Climate policy Land use Energy system Biochemicals
英文关键词	Biochemicals; Bioenergy; Climate policy; Energy system; Land use; Scenario analysis
学科领域	Environmental Sciences;Environmental Studies;Geography
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000458468400010
scopus关键词	assessment method; biochemistry; bioenergy; biomass; climate change; electricity supply; environmental policy; integrated approach; land use change; scenario analysis
来源期刊	Global Environmental change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/81749
作者单位	PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, The Hague, GH 2500, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Princetonlaan 8a, Utrecht, CB 3584, Netherlands; Energy Sustainability Research Institute Groningen (ESRIG), University of Groningen, Blauwborgje 6, PO Box 221, Groningen, AE 9700, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Daioglou V.,Doelman J.C.,Wicke B.,et al. Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios[J],2019,54:88-101.
APA	Daioglou V.,Doelman J.C.,Wicke B.,Faaij A.,&van Vuuren D.P..(2019).Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios.Global Environmental change,54,88-101.
MLA	Daioglou V.,et al."Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios".Global Environmental change 54(2019):88-101.