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11th National Conference on Science, Policy and the Environment: Our Changing Oceans, January 19-21, 2011, in Washington, DC
项目编号DE-SC0005690
Saundry, Peter
项目主持机构National Council for Science and the Environment
开始日期2011
结束日期2011-12-31
英文摘要Significant achievements have recently been made for thermal modelling of idealised undisturbed permafrost bedrock. However, most permafrost rock walls inherit significant snow accumulation, which often dominate permafrost evolution and fluctuation throughout time. Climate change alters snow timing, duration and thickness which all influence permafrost development. Our project aims at deciphering snow control in steep permafrost rocks and its sensitivity to climate change. We target at developing 1) a novel methodological/modelling framework to investigate snow forcing, 2) process understanding for snow impact quantification and 3) future scenarios for estimating the impact of snow cover changes in steep permafrost rock walls. Part 2 focuses on surface heat/water flow characterization using continuous snow cover quantification, terrestrial laser scanning (TLS), the calibration of physical snow properties (snow pits) and surface rock temperature (temperature loggers) measurements. Part 1 investigates the subsurface impact of snow on the thermal and mechanical behaviour inside rockwalls using laboratory-calibrated 3D geophysical monitoring (electrical resistivity and seismic refraction tomography) as well as acoustic, hydraulic and geotechnical observation of instability and hydro-mechanical forcing. We aim at developing a realistic model for snow cover and snow melt in steep bedrock (SNOWPACK) and a coupled model that reveals hydro-thermal and hydro-mechanical effects of snow melt infiltration in fractured bedrock (UDEC). Model results will be validated using thermal and mechanical observation in the snow cover, at the rock surface and in the rock subsurface (borehole). The sensitivity of the models to altered snow scenarios will provide a more holistic view on climate change impacts on potentially hazardous permafrost rock faces.
学科分类06 - 生物科学;09 - 环境科学
资助机构US-DOE
项目经费15000
项目类型Grant
国家US
语种英语
文献类型项目
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/75847
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Saundry, Peter.11th National Conference on Science, Policy and the Environment: Our Changing Oceans, January 19-21, 2011, in Washington, DC.2011.
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