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| Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture | |
| 项目编号 | R824996 |
| J. C. Randolph | |
| 项目主持机构 | Montana State University |
| 开始日期 | 1996-10-01 |
| 结束日期 | 1999-09-01 |
| 英文摘要 | Project Research Results Final Report 2000 Progress Report 1999 Progress Report 1998 Progress Report 1997 41 publications for this project 4 journal articles for this project Related Information Research Grants P3: Student Design Competition Research Fellowships Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Grantee Research Project Results Search Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture EPA Grant Number: R824996 Title: Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture Investigators: Randolph, J. C. , Doering, Otto C. , Johnston, Jerry , Littlefield, Bill , Lowenberg-DeBoer, Jess , Mazzocco, Michael A. , Pfeifer, Rebecca Current Investigators: Randolph, J. C. , Doering, Otto C. , Mazzocco, Michael A. Institution:Indiana University - Bloomington , Purdue University , University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign EPA Project Officer: Chung, Serena Project Period: October 1, 1996 through September 30, 1999 (Extended to September 22, 2001) Project Amount: $1,393,897 RFA: Global Climate (1996)RFA Text | Recipients Lists Research Category:Global Climate Change ,Ecological Indicators/Assessment/Restoration ,Climate Change Description: Using a multidisciplinary team and hierarchical systems aggregation, thisproject will use an integrated assessment approach to evaluate the impacts ofclimate change on midwestern crop agriculture in four distinct ways. First, theimpacts of several changed climate regimes on midwestern agroecosystems will beevaluated using GIS-based crop production simulation modeling. Second, theconsequences of these altered agroecosystems and the potential for adaptivetechnologies and strategies for farm management decisions will be evaluatedusing an economic decision model, the Purdue University Crop/Livestock LinearProgram (PC-LP), to assess impacts on individual farms. Third, the interactionsof the aggregated agroecosystem and farm-decision effects on institutionalpolicies, and conversely, will be evaluated to assess midwestern regionalimpacts including the adaptability of alternative policies. Fourth, theadaptability of this integrated climate assessment methodology for analysis ofagricultural sector adaptive response to changed climate in other regions in theU.S. Previously, the Oregon State University (OSU) general circulation model (GCM)was used to project possible future climates in the midwestern Great Lake state(Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio) at daily, monthly, and annualintervals through 2060. Current geographic distribution of crops and spatialpatterns of agricultural cropping systems in these states has been studied andan assessment of the effects of climate change on production levels of importantcrops (corn and soybeans) at high spatial resolution has been completed. Cropsimulation modeling in this study will use the CENTURY model, with calibrationsusing the CERES Maize and SOYGRO models. Four climate change scenarios will bedeveloped to generate input for both the CENTURY and PC-LP linear programmingmodel. Representative commercial production units ("firm farms") will bedeveloped in eleven distinct regions representing the variety of midwesternagriculture. Institutional constraints on production practices and theirresulting effects on the variety of agroecosystems and farm profitability alsowill be incorporated. Preliminary results indicate that soil nutrients are ofcritical importance in determining crop yields under a changed climate. Inearlier simulations, regions having superior physical and chemical soilcharacteristics (the eastern Corn Belt) are less impacted by climate change thanare regions having soil characteristics less suitable for agriculture (northernMichigan and Wisconsin). This integrated assessment will rely heavily upon diverse expertise andknowledge through the use of expert panels. This approach complements themodeling of agroecosystem response to climate change at Indiana University;analytical capacity for firm-level decision-making at Purdue University;knowledge of agricultural systems at Purdue University and at the University ofIllinois; and the knowledge of agribusiness support systems at the University ofIllinois. All three universities have a tradition of integratedmulti-disciplinary approaches to the analysis of environmental management,natural resources, and agriculture. Publications and Presentations: Publications have been submitted on this project:View all 41 publications for this project Journal Articles: Journal Articles have been submitted on this project:View all 4 journal articles for this project Supplemental Keywords: soil, global climate, ecological effect, integrated assessment, general circulation model, cilmate model, midwest, agriculture., RFA, Scientific Discipline, Air, Geographic Area, Midwest, climate change, State, Economics, Ecological Risk Assessment, Agronomy, ecosystem models, environmental monitoring, integrated assessments, adaptive technologies, hierarchical systems aggregation, farming, farm income, climate models, agroeconomics, agriculture, environmental stressors, GIS, vulnerability assessment, Wisconsin (WI), ecosystem sustainability, Midwestern agriculture, climate variability, crop production, Global Climate Change Progress and Final Reports: 1997 1998 Progress Report 1999 Progress Report 2000 Progress Report Final ReportProject Research Results Final Report 2000 Progress Report 1999 Progress Report 1998 Progress Report 1997 41 publications for this project 4 journal articles for this project Related Information Research Grants P3: Student Design Competition Research Fellowships Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Grantee Research Project Results Search Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture EPA Grant Number: R824996 Title: Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture Investigators: Randolph, J. C. , Doering, Otto C. , Johnston, Jerry , Littlefield, Bill , Lowenberg-DeBoer, Jess , Mazzocco, Michael A. , Pfeifer, Rebecca Current Investigators: Randolph, J. C. , Doering, Otto C. , Mazzocco, Michael A. Institution:Indiana University - Bloomington , Purdue University , University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign EPA Project Officer: Chung, Serena Project Period: October 1, 1996 through September 30, 1999 (Extended to September 22, 2001) Project Amount: $1,393,897 RFA: Global Climate (1996)RFA Text | Recipients Lists Research Category:Global Climate Change ,Ecological Indicators/Assessment/Restoration ,Climate Change Description: Using a multidisciplinary team and hierarchical systems aggregation, thisproject will use an integrated assessment approach to evaluate the impacts ofclimate change on midwestern crop agriculture in four distinct ways. First, theimpacts of several changed climate regimes on midwestern agroecosystems will beevaluated using GIS-based crop production simulation modeling. Second, theconsequences of these altered agroecosystems and the potential for adaptivetechnologies and strategies for farm management decisions will be evaluatedusing an economic decision model, the Purdue University Crop/Livestock LinearProgram (PC-LP), to assess impacts on individual farms. Third, the interactionsof the aggregated agroecosystem and farm-decision effects on institutionalpolicies, and conversely, will be evaluated to assess midwestern regionalimpacts including the adaptability of alternative policies. Fourth, theadaptability of this integrated climate assessment methodology for analysis ofagricultural sector adaptive response to changed climate in other regions in theU.S. Previously, the Oregon State University (OSU) general circulation model (GCM)was used to project possible future climates in the midwestern Great Lake state(Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio) at daily, monthly, and annualintervals through 2060. Current geographic distribution of crops and spatialpatterns of agricultural cropping systems in these states has been studied andan assessment of the effects of climate change on production levels of importantcrops (corn and soybeans) at high spatial resolution has been completed. Cropsimulation modeling in this study will use the CENTURY model, with calibrationsusing the CERES Maize and SOYGRO models. Four climate change scenarios will bedeveloped to generate input for both the CENTURY and PC-LP linear programmingmodel. Representative commercial production units ("firm farms") will bedeveloped in eleven distinct regions representing the variety of midwesternagriculture. Institutional constraints on production practices and theirresulting effects on the variety of agroecosystems and farm profitability alsowill be incorporated. Preliminary results indicate that soil nutrients are ofcritical importance in determining crop yields under a changed climate. Inearlier simulations, regions having superior physical and chemical soilcharacteristics (the eastern Corn Belt) are less impacted by climate change thanare regions having soil characteristics less suitable for agriculture (northernMichigan and Wisconsin). This integrated assessment will rely heavily upon diverse expertise andknowledge through the use of expert panels. This approach complements themodeling of agroecosystem response to climate change at Indiana University;analytical capacity for firm-level decision-making at Purdue University;knowledge of agricultural systems at Purdue University and at the University ofIllinois; and the knowledge of agribusiness support systems at the University ofIllinois. All three universities have a tradition of integratedmulti-disciplinary approaches to the analysis of environmental management,natural resources, and agriculture. Publications and Presentations: Publications have been submitted on this project:View all 41 publications for this project Journal Articles: Journal Articles have been submitted on this project:View all 4 journal articles for this project Supplemental Keywords: soil, global climate, ecological effect, integrated assessment, general circulation model, cilmate model, midwest, agriculture., RFA, Scientific Discipline, Air, Geographic Area, Midwest, climate change, State, Economics, Ecological Risk Assessment, Agronomy, ecosystem models, environmental monitoring, integrated assessments, adaptive technologies, hierarchical systems aggregation, farming, farm income, climate models, agroeconomics, agriculture, environmental stressors, GIS, vulnerability assessment, Wisconsin (WI), ecosystem sustainability, Midwestern agriculture, climate variability, crop production, Global Climate Change Progress and Final Reports: 1997 1998 Progress Report 1999 Progress Report 2000 Progress Report Final ReportProject Research Results Final Report 2000 Progress Report 1999 Progress Report 1998 Progress Report 1997 41 publications for this project 4 journal articles for this project Related Information Research Grants P3: Student Design Competition Research Fellowships Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Grantee Research Project Results Search Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture EPA Grant Number: R824996 Title: Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture Investigators: Randolph, J. C. , Doering, Otto C. , Johnston, Jerry , Littlefield, Bill , Lowenberg-DeBoer, Jess , Mazzocco, Michael A. , Pfeifer, Rebecca Current Investigators: Randolph, J. C. , Doering, Otto C. , Mazzocco, Michael A. Institution:Indiana University - Bloomington , Purdue University , University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign EPA Project Officer: Chung, Serena Project Period: October 1, 1996 through September 30, 1999 (Extended to September 22, 2001) Project Amount: $1,393,897 RFA: Global Climate (1996)RFA Text | Recipients Lists Research Category:Global Climate Change ,Ecological Indicators/Assessment/Restoration ,Climate Change Description: Using a multidisciplinary team and hierarchical systems aggregation, thisproject will use an integrated assessment approach to evaluate the impacts ofclimate change on midwestern crop agriculture in four distinct ways. First, theimpacts of several changed climate regimes on midwestern agroecosystems will beevaluated using GIS-based crop production simulation modeling. Second, theconsequences of these altered agroecosystems and the potential for adaptivetechnologies and strategies for farm management decisions will be evaluatedusing an economic decision model, the Purdue University Crop/Livestock LinearProgram (PC-LP), to assess impacts on individual farms. Third, the interactionsof the aggregated agroecosystem and farm-decision effects on institutionalpolicies, and conversely, will be evaluated to assess midwestern regionalimpacts including the adaptability of alternative policies. Fourth, theadaptability of this integrated climate assessment methodology for analysis ofagricultural sector adaptive response to changed climate in other regions in theU.S. Previously, the Oregon State University (OSU) general circulation model (GCM)was used to project possible future climates in the midwestern Great Lake state(Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio) at daily, monthly, and annualintervals through 2060. Current geographic distribution of crops and spatialpatterns of agricultural cropping systems in these states has been studied andan assessment of the effects of climate change on production levels of importantcrops (corn and soybeans) at high spatial resolution has been completed. Cropsimulation modeling in this study will use the CENTURY model, with calibrationsusing the CERES Maize and SOYGRO models. Four climate change scenarios will bedeveloped to generate input for both the CENTURY and PC-LP linear programmingmodel. Representative commercial production units ("firm farms") will bedeveloped in eleven distinct regions representing the variety of midwesternagriculture. Institutional constraints on production practices and theirresulting effects on the variety of agroecosystems and farm profitability alsowill be incorporated. Preliminary results indicate that soil nutrients are ofcritical importance in determining crop yields under a changed climate. Inearlier simulations, regions having superior physical and chemical soilcharacteristics (the eastern Corn Belt) are less impacted by climate change thanare regions having soil characteristics less suitable for agriculture (northernMichigan and Wisconsin). This integrated assessment will rely heavily upon diverse expertise andknowledge through the use of expert panels. This approach complements themodeling of agroecosystem response to climate change at Indiana University;analytical capacity for firm-level decision-making at Purdue University;knowledge of agricultural systems at Purdue University and at the University ofIllinois; and the knowledge of agribusiness support systems at the University ofIllinois. All three universities have a tradition of integratedmulti-disciplinary approaches to the analysis of environmental management,natural resources, and agriculture. |
| 英文关键词 | soil;global climate;ecological effect;integrated assessment;general circulation model;cilmate model;midwest;agriculture. |
| 学科分类 | 09 - 环境科学;08 - 地球科学 |
| 资助机构 | US-EPA |
| 项目经费 | 1393897 |
| 国家 | US |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 文献类型 | 项目 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/73007 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | J. C. Randolph.Integrated Assessment of Economic Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change Impacts on Midwestern Agriculture.1996. |
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