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| Disentangling the effects of demography, dispersal and biotic interactions on population and community response to global change (BIOPIC) | |
| 项目编号 | http://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/333890902 |
| Dr. DamarisZurell | |
| 项目主持机构 | Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin |
| 开始日期 | 2017 |
| 英文摘要 | Mitigatingrapidbiodiversitylossisoneofthemostvitalchallengesofthe21stcentury.Fordesigningandtestingadequatepolicyandmanagementstrategies,weneedimprovedbiodiversitymodelsthatallowderivingquantitativeestimatesofpotentialspeciesandcommunityresponsetoglobalenvironmentalchange.Speciesrangesareprimarilylimitedbythephysiological(abiotic)toleranceofthespecies,describedbytheirfundamentalniche.Additionally,demographicprocesses,dispersal,andbioticinteractionswithotherspeciesareshapingspeciesdistributions,resultingintherealisedniche.Understandingthecomplexinterplaybetweenthesedriversisvitalformakingrobustbiodiversitypredictionstonovelenvironments.Correlativespeciesdistributionmodelshavebeenwidelyusedtopredictbiodiversityresponsebutalsoremaincriticised,astheyarenotabletoproperlydisentangletheabioticandbioticdriversshapingspeciesniches.Recentdevelopmentshavethusfocussedon(i)integratingdemographyanddispersalintospeciesdistributionmodels,andon(ii)integratingbioticinteractions.Yet,manyaspectsofthesemodelsremainunder-explored,forexample,therequiredprocessdetailtobeincorporatedinthemodelsaswellasthescaledependenceandthespatialandtemporalvariationoftherepresentedprocessesamongothers.Also,wearestillmissingaframeworkthatfullyintegratesalltheseprocessesinagenericway,suchthatitisapplicableandadaptabletoalargenumberofspecies.Here,Iproposesettinguparesearchgroupthatdevelopsanintegratedmodellingframeworkabletodisentanglethecomplexrolesofdemography,dispersalandbioticinteractionsinshapingspeciesniches,andassesstheireffectsonpopulationandcommunityresponsetoglobalenvironmentalchange.Theframeworkanditssinglecomponentswillbevalidatedusingamixofsimulatedandempiricaldata,anditwillbeoperationalizedandtestedforaviancommunities,forwhichmultipledatasourceswillbesynthesizedinanovelwayusingBayesianinference.Inparticular,theprojectwillfocusonfivekeyresearchobjectivesaimedat(1)improvingourunderstandinghowlifehistoryandenvironmentshapedispersal,(2)improvingourunderstandinghowlifehistoryanddemographyshapespeciesniches,(3)improvingourunderstandinghowbioticinteractionsshapespeciesniches,(4)developingandoperationalizingmulti-speciesdynamicdistributionmodels,and(5)developingnewbiodiversityscenariosforEuropeanbirds.Overall,theproposedprojectwillimprovethescientificbasisformodel-basedbiodiversityassessmentsandincreasereliabilityofbiodiversitypredictionsforbroadspatialscalesbyprovidingboththeoreticalandconceptualadvancementsandbydefiningpracticalrequirementsandguidelinesforthedevelopmentandapplicationofbiodiversitymodels. |
| 学科分类 | 0603 - 生态学;06 - 生物科学 |
| 资助机构 | DE-DFG |
| 项目类型 | Independent Junior Research Groups |
| URL | http://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/333890902?language=en |
| 国家 | DE |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 文献类型 | 项目 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/69552 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dr. DamarisZurell.Disentangling the effects of demography, dispersal and biotic interactions on population and community response to global change (BIOPIC).2017. |
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