CCPortal
DOI10.1007/s10584-013-1037-4
Climate change risks to US infrastructure: impacts on roads, bridges, coastal development, and urban drainage
Neumann, James E.1; Price, Jason1; Chinowsky, Paul2; Wright, Leonard3; Ludwig, Lindsay1; Streeter, Richard4; Jones, Russell4; Smith, Joel B.4; Perkins, William5; Jantarasami, Lesley5; Martinich, Jeremy5
发表日期2015-07-01
ISSN0165-0009
卷号131期号:1页码:97-109
英文摘要

Changes in temperature, precipitation, sea level, and coastal storms will likely increase the vulnerability of infrastructure across the United States. Using four models that analyze vulnerability, impacts, and adaptation, this paper estimates impacts to roads, bridges, coastal properties, and urban drainage infrastructure and investigates sensitivity to varying greenhouse gas emission scenarios, climate sensitivities, and global climate models. The results suggest that the impacts of climate change in this sector could be large, especially in the second half of the 21st century as sea-level rises, temperature increases, and precipitation patterns become more extreme and affect the sustainability of long-lived infrastructure. Further, when considering sea-level rise, scenarios which incorporate dynamic ice sheet melting yield impact model results in coastal areas that are roughly 70 to 80 % higher than results that do not incorporate dynamic ice sheet melting. The potential for substantial economic impacts across all infrastructure sectors modeled, however, can be reduced by cost-effective adaptation measures. Mitigation policies also show potential to reduce impacts in the infrastructure sector - a more aggressive mitigation policy reduces impacts by 25 to 35 %, and a somewhat less aggressive policy reduces impacts by 19 to 30 %. The existing suite of models suitable for estimating these damages nonetheless covers only a small portion of expected infrastructure sector effects from climate change, so much work remains to better understand impacts on electric and telecommunications networks, rail, and air transportation systems. In addition, the effects of climate-induced extreme events are likely to be important, but are incompletely understood and remain an emerging area for research.


语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000357118200007
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
来源机构美国环保署
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/60085
作者单位1.Ind Econ, Cambridge, MA 02140 USA;
2.Univ Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309 USA;
3.AMEC Environm & Infrastruct, Boulder, CO USA;
4.Stratus Consulting, Boulder, CO USA;
5.US EPA, Climate Change Div, Washington, DC USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Neumann, James E.,Price, Jason,Chinowsky, Paul,et al. Climate change risks to US infrastructure: impacts on roads, bridges, coastal development, and urban drainage[J]. 美国环保署,2015,131(1):97-109.
APA Neumann, James E..,Price, Jason.,Chinowsky, Paul.,Wright, Leonard.,Ludwig, Lindsay.,...&Martinich, Jeremy.(2015).Climate change risks to US infrastructure: impacts on roads, bridges, coastal development, and urban drainage.CLIMATIC CHANGE,131(1),97-109.
MLA Neumann, James E.,et al."Climate change risks to US infrastructure: impacts on roads, bridges, coastal development, and urban drainage".CLIMATIC CHANGE 131.1(2015):97-109.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Neumann, James E.]的文章
[Price, Jason]的文章
[Chinowsky, Paul]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Neumann, James E.]的文章
[Price, Jason]的文章
[Chinowsky, Paul]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Neumann, James E.]的文章
[Price, Jason]的文章
[Chinowsky, Paul]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。