CCPortal
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00182.1
Atlantic Hurricanes and Climate Change. Part I: Experimental Design and Isolation of Thermodynamic Effects
Mallard, Megan S.1; Lackmann, Gary M.1; Aiyyer, Anantha1; Hill, Kevin2
发表日期2013-07-01
ISSN0894-8755
卷号26期号:13页码:4876-4893
英文摘要

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used in a downscaling experiment to simulate a portion of the Atlantic hurricane season both in present-day conditions and with modifications to include future thermodynamic changes.Temperature and moisture changes are derived from an ensemble of climate simulations from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) A1B scenario and added to analyzed initial and lateral boundary conditions, leaving horizontal temperature gradients and vertical wind shear unaltered. This method of downscaling excludes future changes in shear and incipient disturbances, thereby isolating the thermodynamic component of climate change and its effect on tropical cyclone (TC) activity.The North Atlantic basin is simulated with 18- and 6-km grid spacing, and a four-member physics ensemble is composed by varying microphysical and boundary layer parameterization schemes. This ensemble is used in monthly simulations during an active (2005) and inactive (2009) season, and the simulations are able to capture the change in activity between the different years. TC frequency is better reproduced with use of 6-km grid spacing and explicitly simulated convection, relative to simulations with 18-km grid spacing. A detailed comparison of present-day and future ensemble results is provided in a companion study.


英文关键词Tropical cyclones;Climate change;Hurricanes;typhoons;General circulation models;Mesoscale models
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000321259000030
来源期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
来源机构美国环保署
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/58854
作者单位1.N Carolina State Univ, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA;
2.AIR Worldwide Corp, Boston, MA USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mallard, Megan S.,Lackmann, Gary M.,Aiyyer, Anantha,et al. Atlantic Hurricanes and Climate Change. Part I: Experimental Design and Isolation of Thermodynamic Effects[J]. 美国环保署,2013,26(13):4876-4893.
APA Mallard, Megan S.,Lackmann, Gary M.,Aiyyer, Anantha,&Hill, Kevin.(2013).Atlantic Hurricanes and Climate Change. Part I: Experimental Design and Isolation of Thermodynamic Effects.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,26(13),4876-4893.
MLA Mallard, Megan S.,et al."Atlantic Hurricanes and Climate Change. Part I: Experimental Design and Isolation of Thermodynamic Effects".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 26.13(2013):4876-4893.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Mallard, Megan S.]的文章
[Lackmann, Gary M.]的文章
[Aiyyer, Anantha]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Mallard, Megan S.]的文章
[Lackmann, Gary M.]的文章
[Aiyyer, Anantha]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Mallard, Megan S.]的文章
[Lackmann, Gary M.]的文章
[Aiyyer, Anantha]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。