Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2014.04.032 |
Assessment of projected temperature impacts from climate change on the U.S. electric power sector using the Integrated Planning Model (R) | |
Jaglom, Wendy S.1; McFarland, James R.2; Colley, Michelle F.1; Mack, Charlotte B.1; Venkatesh, Boddu1; Miller, Rawlings L.1; Haydel, Juanita1; Schultz, Peter A.1; Perkins, Bill2; Casola, Joseph H.2; Martinich, Jeremy A.2; Cross, Paul1; Kolian, Michael J.2; Kayin, Serpil2 | |
发表日期 | 2014-10-01 |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
卷号 | 73页码:524-539 |
英文摘要 | This study analyzes the potential impacts of changes in temperature due to climate change on the U.S. power sector, measuring the energy, environmental, and economic impacts of power system changes due to temperature changes under two emissions trajectories with and without emissions mitigation. It estimates the impact of temperature change on heating and cooling degree days, electricity demand, and generating unit output and efficiency. These effects are then integrated into a dispatch and capacity planning model to estimate impacts on investment decisions, emissions, system costs, and power prices for 32 U.S. regions. Without mitigation actions, total annual electricity production costs in 2050 are projected to increase 14% ($51 billion) because of greater cooling demand as compared to a control scenario without future temperature changes. For a scenario with global emissions mitigation, including a reduction in U.S. power sector emissions of 36% below 2005 levels in 2050, the increase in total annual electricity production costs is approximately the same as the increase in system costs to satisfy the increased demand associated with unmitigated rising temperatures. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/). |
英文关键词 | Climate change;Electricity demand;Electric power sector |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000341474100049 |
来源期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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来源机构 | 美国环保署 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/56932 |
作者单位 | 1.ICF Int, Fairfax, VA 22031 USA; 2.US EPA, Washington, DC 20460 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jaglom, Wendy S.,McFarland, James R.,Colley, Michelle F.,et al. Assessment of projected temperature impacts from climate change on the U.S. electric power sector using the Integrated Planning Model (R)[J]. 美国环保署,2014,73:524-539. |
APA | Jaglom, Wendy S..,McFarland, James R..,Colley, Michelle F..,Mack, Charlotte B..,Venkatesh, Boddu.,...&Kayin, Serpil.(2014).Assessment of projected temperature impacts from climate change on the U.S. electric power sector using the Integrated Planning Model (R).ENERGY POLICY,73,524-539. |
MLA | Jaglom, Wendy S.,et al."Assessment of projected temperature impacts from climate change on the U.S. electric power sector using the Integrated Planning Model (R)".ENERGY POLICY 73(2014):524-539. |
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