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DOI10.1038/s41586-024-07241-2
Heat and desiccation tolerances predict bee abundance under climate change
发表日期2024
ISSN0028-0836
EISSN1476-4687
起始页码628
结束页码8007
卷号628期号:8007
英文摘要Climate change could pose an urgent threat to pollinators, with critical ecological and economic consequences. However, for most insect pollinator species, we lack the long-term data and mechanistic evidence that are necessary to identify climate-driven declines and predict future trends. Here we document 16 years of abundance patterns for a hyper-diverse bee assemblage1 in a warming and drying region2, link bee declines with experimentally determined heat and desiccation tolerances, and use climate sensitivity models to project bee communities into the future. Aridity strongly predicted bee abundance for 71% of 665 bee populations (species x ecosystem combinations). Bee taxa that best tolerated heat and desiccation increased the most over time. Models forecasted declines for 46% of species and predicted more homogeneous communities dominated by drought-tolerant taxa, even while total bee abundance may remain unchanged. Such community reordering could reduce pollination services, because diverse bee assemblages typically maximize pollination for plant communities3. Larger-bodied bees also dominated under intermediate to high aridity, identifying body size as a valuable trait for understanding how climate-driven shifts in bee communities influence pollination4. We provide evidence that climate change directly threatens bee diversity, indicating that bee conservation efforts should account for the stress of aridity on bee physiology. A 16-year dataset of abundance patterns of a diverse assemblage of bees in New Mexico, USA predicts declines for many bee species and indicates that drought-tolerant taxa will prevail in a warming and drying climate.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001194958800007
来源期刊NATURE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309917
作者单位University of New Mexico; Utah System of Higher Education; Utah State University; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
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. Heat and desiccation tolerances predict bee abundance under climate change[J],2024,628(8007).
APA (2024).Heat and desiccation tolerances predict bee abundance under climate change.NATURE,628(8007).
MLA "Heat and desiccation tolerances predict bee abundance under climate change".NATURE 628.8007(2024).
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