气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area

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DOI	10.1007/s10661-023-12174-w
	Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area
	de Carvalho, Dorinny Lisboa; Silva, Sofia Marques; Sousa-Neves, Tiago; Goncalves, Gabriela Silva Ribeiro; Silva, Daniel Paiva; Santos, Marcos Persio Dantas
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0167-6369
EISSN	1573-2959
起始页码	196
结束页码	1
卷号	196 期号:1
英文摘要	Climate change affects ecosystems in different ways. These effects are particularly worrying in the Neotropical region, where species are most vulnerable to these changes because they live closer to their thermal safety limits. Thus, establishing conservation priorities, particularly for the definition of protected areas (PAs), is a priority. However, some PA systems within the Neotropics are ineffective even under the present environmental conditions. Here, we test the effectiveness of a PA system, within an ecotone in northern Brazil, in protecting 24 endangered bird species under current and future (RCP8.5) climatic scenarios. We used species distribution modeling and dispersal corridor modeling to describe the priority areas for conservation of these species. Our results indicate that several threatened bird taxa are and will potentially be protected (i.e., occur within PAs). Nonetheless, the amount of protected area is insufficient to maintain the species in the ecotone. Moreover, most taxa will probably present drastic declines in their range sizes; some are even predicted to go globally extinct soon. Thus, we highlight the location of a potentially effective system of dispersal corridors that connects PAs in the ecotone. We reinforce the need to implement public policies and raise public awareness to maintain PAs and mitigate anthropogenic effects within them, corridors, and adjacent areas, aiming to conserve the richness and diversity of these already threatened species.
英文关键词	Amazon forest; Cerrado; Climate change; Dispersal corridors
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001127275300013
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309640
作者单位	Universidade Federal do Para; Museu Paraense Emilio Goeldi; Museu Paraense Emilio Goeldi; Universidade do Porto; Instituto Federal Goiano; Universidade Federal do Para
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	de Carvalho, Dorinny Lisboa,Silva, Sofia Marques,Sousa-Neves, Tiago,et al. Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area[J],2024,196(1).
APA	de Carvalho, Dorinny Lisboa,Silva, Sofia Marques,Sousa-Neves, Tiago,Goncalves, Gabriela Silva Ribeiro,Silva, Daniel Paiva,&Santos, Marcos Persio Dantas.(2024).Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area.ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,196(1).
MLA	de Carvalho, Dorinny Lisboa,et al."Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area".ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 196.1(2024).