气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change reshapes bioclimatic environments in China's dry-wet transition zones

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DOI	10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131122
	Climate change reshapes bioclimatic environments in China's dry-wet transition zones
	Li, Mingxing; Wu, Peili; Ma, Zhuguo; Liu, Jiandong
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0022-1694
EISSN	1879-2707
起始页码	634
卷号	634
英文摘要	Bioclimatic response to global warming is a key linkage between anthropogenic climate change and ecosystem sustainability, particularly for the impact-prone climate transition zones. This paper examines changes in heatwater conditions from 2006 to 2100 across China, using the fifth generation climate reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium -Range Weather Forecasts (ERA5) and bias-adjusted climate projections by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). We then assess the effects of these changes on habitat suitability for responsive ecosystems using a species distribution model. The results reveal significant changes in bioclimatic environments across dry - wet climate transition zones under the present -day climate and the RCP8.5 scenario. By the end of the 21st century, local growing season length (GSL) could extend by 60 days and 30 % of the GSL could be under heat stress. Water conditions worsen overall in both the air and the soil, despite some improvements in the middle parts of transition zones. With altered heat-water conditions, sustainable grasslands shift northwestward, with a reduction of approximately 131 million km 2 (46.6 % relative to 2006 - 2010) in total area. These changes primarily arise from alterations in winter and spring heat-water conditions. Our findings highlight the climate transition zones as hotspots of ecosystem vulnerability demanding particular attention in impact assessment and adaptation studies.
英文关键词	Bioclimatic environments; Habitat suitability; Grasslands; Climate transition zones; Climate change
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001219496500001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309561
作者单位	Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS; Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology; Met Office - UK; Hadley Centre; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; China Meteorological Administration; Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Mingxing,Wu, Peili,Ma, Zhuguo,et al. Climate change reshapes bioclimatic environments in China's dry-wet transition zones[J],2024,634.
APA	Li, Mingxing,Wu, Peili,Ma, Zhuguo,&Liu, Jiandong.(2024).Climate change reshapes bioclimatic environments in China's dry-wet transition zones.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,634.
MLA	Li, Mingxing,et al."Climate change reshapes bioclimatic environments in China's dry-wet transition zones".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 634(2024).