气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The use of an integrated framework combining eco-evolutionary data and species distribution models to predict range shifts of species under changing climates

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.mex.2024.102608
	The use of an integrated framework combining eco-evolutionary data and species distribution models to predict range shifts of species under changing climates
	Lu, Wen-Xun; Rao, Guang-Yuan
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2215-0161
起始页码	12
卷号	12
英文摘要	Species distribution models (SDMs) are powerful tools that can predict potential distributions of species under climate change. However, traditional SDMs that rely on current species occurrences may underestimate their climatic tolerances and potential distributions. To address this limitation, we developed an integrated framework that incorporates eco-evolutionary data into SDMs. In our approach, the fundamental niches of species are constructed by their realized niches in different periods, and those fundamental niches are used to predict potential distributions of species. Our framework includes multiple phylogenetic analyses, such as niche evolution rate estimation and ancestral area reconstruction. These analyses provide deeper insights into the responses of species to climate change. We applied our approach to the Chrysanthemum zawadskii species complex to evaluate its efficacy through comprehensive performance evaluations and validation tests. Our framework can be applied broadly to species with available phylogenetic data and occurrence records, making it a valuable tool for understanding species adaptation in a rapidly changing world. center dot Integrating the niches of species in different periods estimates more complete climatic envelopes for them. center dot Combining eco-evolutionary data with SDMs predicts more comprehensive potential distributions of species under climate change. center dot Our framework provides a general procedure for species with phylogenetic data and occurrence records.
英文关键词	Fundamental niche; Niche evolution; Multi-temporal calibration; Phylogenetically-informed species distribution; model; Historical range dynamics of species
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001201737600001
来源期刊	METHODSX
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309553
作者单位	Peking University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lu, Wen-Xun,Rao, Guang-Yuan. The use of an integrated framework combining eco-evolutionary data and species distribution models to predict range shifts of species under changing climates[J],2024,12.
APA	Lu, Wen-Xun,&Rao, Guang-Yuan.(2024).The use of an integrated framework combining eco-evolutionary data and species distribution models to predict range shifts of species under changing climates.METHODSX,12.
MLA	Lu, Wen-Xun,et al."The use of an integrated framework combining eco-evolutionary data and species distribution models to predict range shifts of species under changing climates".METHODSX 12(2024).