气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Connectivity and climate change drive the global distribution of highly invasive termites

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DOI	10.3897/neobiota.92.115411
	Connectivity and climate change drive the global distribution of highly invasive termites
	Duquesne, Edouard; Fournier, Denis
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1619-0033
EISSN	1314-2488
起始页码	92
卷号	92
英文摘要	Termites are amongst the most abundant and ecologically-important groups of insects in tropical forests. However, the destructive potential of some species amounts to billions of dollars in damage each year. Despite their economic and ecological impacts, only a limited number of invasive termite species have been studied using distribution modelling and no studies have taken trade, transport and demography variables into account. We used Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to investigate the potential distribution of 10 highly-invasive termites. Our study includes bioclimatic conditions, land-use patterns, elevation and connectivity predictors (i.e. urban areas, human population, accessibility to cities and private vessels), alongside different climatic and socioeconomic change scenarios. The distribution of the termite species hinges on bioclimatic and connectivity variables, highlighting the significance of these latter factors in invasive species analyses. Our models demonstrate the potential of these invasive termites to thrive in large urbanised and connected areas within tropical and subtropical regions and to a lesser extent within temperate regions. As climate changes and urbanisation intensifies, most species' range could expand, particularly under a fossil fuel-driven development scenario. Furthermore, while some species may have a slightly reduced range, they could extend their presence into more urbanised and connected areas, increasing the risks and costs associated with termite damages. Our models highlight the anticipated role of growing connectivity and climate change dynamics in facilitating the widespread proliferation of invasive termites in the coming years.
英文关键词	Biological invasions; climate change; connectivity; invasive species; invasive termites; species distribution models
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:001229274800001
来源期刊	NEOBIOTA
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309540
作者单位	Universite Libre de Bruxelles
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Duquesne, Edouard,Fournier, Denis. Connectivity and climate change drive the global distribution of highly invasive termites[J],2024,92.
APA	Duquesne, Edouard,&Fournier, Denis.(2024).Connectivity and climate change drive the global distribution of highly invasive termites.NEOBIOTA,92.
MLA	Duquesne, Edouard,et al."Connectivity and climate change drive the global distribution of highly invasive termites".NEOBIOTA 92(2024).