气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Potential way to plan China's power system (2021-2050) for climate change mitigation

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.renene.2024.120257
	Potential way to plan China's power system (2021-2050) for climate change mitigation
	Ma, Y.; Li, Y. P.; Mei, H.; Nie, S.; Huang, G. H.; Li, Y. F.; Suo, C.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0960-1481
EISSN	1879-0682
起始页码	225
卷号	225
英文摘要	Planning power system (PS) towards renewable energy is crucial for reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emission as well as mitigating climate change. However, the inherent uncertainty and hierarchical structure of PS pose intractable challenges to the planning process. This study develops a multi-GCM-based interval bi-level programming (MIBP) method that can balance two-level decision-making conflict between CO2-emisison reduction and system cost minimization. MIBP can also deal with uncertainties expressed as interval values in objective functions and constraints. Then, a MIBP-PS model is formulated to plan PS for China (2021-2050), where the upper-level objective is to minimize CO2 emission and the lower-level objective is to minimize the system cost. The major findings are: (i) the CO2 emission for PS would reach peak value before 2030 and then reduce by [10.2, 20.4]% in 2050, which is mainly owing to the curtailment of fossil fuel; (ii) compared with the conventional model, CO2 emission from MIBP-PS model could decrease by [3.1, 4.8]%, which shows the superiority of the developed model; (iii) the fossil-fuel power would be gradually replaced by renewable energy, and the proportion of coal-fired power would decrease by 38.8% by 2050, especially small coal-fired facilities (i.e., below 0.3 GW) should be gradually phased down.
英文关键词	Bi-level programming; Climate change; CO 2-emission reduction; Power system; Multiple GCMs; Uncertainty
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS记录号	WOS:001206907700001
来源期刊	RENEWABLE ENERGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309523
作者单位	Beijing Normal University; University of Regina; University of Toronto
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ma, Y.,Li, Y. P.,Mei, H.,et al. Potential way to plan China's power system (2021-2050) for climate change mitigation[J],2024,225.
APA	Ma, Y..,Li, Y. P..,Mei, H..,Nie, S..,Huang, G. H..,...&Suo, C..(2024).Potential way to plan China's power system (2021-2050) for climate change mitigation.RENEWABLE ENERGY,225.
MLA	Ma, Y.,et al."Potential way to plan China's power system (2021-2050) for climate change mitigation".RENEWABLE ENERGY 225(2024).