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| DOI | 10.1007/s10113-023-02175-3 |
| Predicted changes in distribution and richness of wild edible plants under climate change scenarios in northwestern Kenya | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1436-3798 |
| EISSN | 1436-378X |
| 起始页码 | 24 |
| 结束页码 | 1 |
| 卷号 | 24期号:1 |
| 英文摘要 | Wild edible plants (WEPs) can provide diverse and nutrient-rich food sources that contribute to the health and well-being of communities worldwide. In northwestern Kenya, WEPs are vital dietary components for nomadic pastoral communities with limited access to diverse cultivated food crops. However, the increasing impact of climate change poses a threat to these valuable food resources, and their sustainable utilization remains precarious. Here, we assessed the potentially suitable habitats and richness of 23 selected WEPs in the region using a species distribution modeling (SDM) approach. We used species occurrence points from global databases, a national herbarium, and field surveys and made predictions spanning two future time intervals, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100, across three shared socioeconomic pathways (126, 370, and 585) using bioclimatic variables from five global circulation models. We also included soil and topographic variables in our models. We calibrated maximum entropy models using individually tuned parameters. Our future predictions showed a predominant decline in habitat suitability for half the studied WEPs. The richness of the selected WEPs are predicted to remain rather stable under projected future climates concentrating in southern parts of Turkana County. Conservation and management measures need to consider the changing availability of these valuable resources in order to underpin the dietary diversification of local communities. |
| 英文关键词 | Wild food plants; Ecological niche modeling; Regional climate change; Biodiversity loss |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001137953300001 |
| 来源期刊 | REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309272 |
| 作者单位 | University of Bonn; University of Passau; University of Bonn |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Predicted changes in distribution and richness of wild edible plants under climate change scenarios in northwestern Kenya[J],2024,24(1). |
| APA | (2024).Predicted changes in distribution and richness of wild edible plants under climate change scenarios in northwestern Kenya.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,24(1). |
| MLA | "Predicted changes in distribution and richness of wild edible plants under climate change scenarios in northwestern Kenya".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 24.1(2024). |
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