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| DOI | 10.20937/ATM.53272 |
| Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region | |
| Sakalis, Vasileios D. | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0187-6236 |
| EISSN | 2395-8812 |
| 起始页码 | 38 |
| 卷号 | 38 |
| 英文摘要 | The present study aims to examine the current trend of annual precipitation and temperature series referred to the Eastern Mediterranean basin on a national basis, including the annual variability of sea surface temperature anomalies and the connection effect with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Mediterranean Oscillation indices (NAOI and MOI, respectively). The period under consideration is mainly the last 32 years, from 1990 to 2021. Additionally, the prediction of monthly and yearly temperature and precipitation series, based on the autoregressive integrated moving average model on a national base, for the next four or eight years, is another interesting feature of the present study. Results indicate rising trends in the annual precipitation during 1990-2021, mostly non-significant and significant warming trends in the annual temperature, including sea surface temperature. The NAOI is highly correlated mostly with annual temperature, whereas the MOI does not affect the variation of annual precipitation and temperature. The results of the present study are in general agreement with the results of available studies in the literature, and they could be of high interest to national authorities and environmental unions/organizations, to help decision-makers face climate change. |
| 英文关键词 | time series; ARIMA; CRU TS 4.05; climate change impact; climate variability; Greece; Turkey; Cyprus; Israel; Lebanon |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001166500200001 |
| 来源期刊 | ATMOSFERA
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/309166 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sakalis, Vasileios D.. Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region[J],2024,38. |
| APA | Sakalis, Vasileios D..(2024).Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region.ATMOSFERA,38. |
| MLA | Sakalis, Vasileios D.."Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region".ATMOSFERA 38(2024). |
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