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DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171061 |
Geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928) in China's coastal regions under climate change | |
Liu, Bingxian; Liu, Zhenqiang; Li, Cui; Yu, Haolin; Wang, Haiyan | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
起始页码 | 920 |
卷号 | 920 |
英文摘要 | Global climate change drives species redistribution, threatening biodiversity and ecosystem heterogeneity. The Kumamoto oyster, Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928), one of the most promising aquaculture species because of its delayed reproductive timing, was once prevalent in southern China. In this study, an ensemble species distribution model was employed to analyze the distribution range shift and ecological niche dynamics of C. sikamea along China's coastline under the current and future climate scenarios (RCP 2.6-8.5 covering 2050 s and 2100 s). The model results indicated that the current habitat distribution for C. sikamea consists of a continuous stretch extending from the coastlines of Hainan Province to the northern shores of Jiangsu Province. By the 2050 s, the distribution range will stabilize at its southern end along the coast of Hainan Province, while expanding northward to cover the coastal areas of Shandong Province, showing a more dramatic trend of contraction in the south , invasion in the north by the 2100 s. In RCP8.5, the southern end retracts to the coasts of Guangdong, whereas the northern end covers all of China's coastal areas north of 34 degrees N. C. sikamea can maintain relatively stable ecological niche characteristics, while it may occupy different ecological niche spaces under future climate conditions. Significant niche expansion will occur in lower temperature. We concluded C. sikamea habitats are susceptible to climate change. The rapid northward expansion of C. sikamea may open new possibilities for oyster farming in China, but it will also have important consequences for the ecological balance and biodiversity of receiving areas. It's imperative that we closely examine and strategize to address these repercussions for a win -win situation. |
英文关键词 | Distribution pattern; Ecological niche; Climate change; Oyster; Crassostrea sikamea |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001199000600001 |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308988 |
作者单位 | Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Oceanology, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; Qingdao Agricultural University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Oceanology, CAS |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Bingxian,Liu, Zhenqiang,Li, Cui,et al. Geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928) in China's coastal regions under climate change[J],2024,920. |
APA | Liu, Bingxian,Liu, Zhenqiang,Li, Cui,Yu, Haolin,&Wang, Haiyan.(2024).Geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928) in China's coastal regions under climate change.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,920. |
MLA | Liu, Bingxian,et al."Geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928) in China's coastal regions under climate change".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 920(2024). |
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